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The Latest Breaking News from Andrew Hollenhorst

Underlying Inflation Hits Lowest Level in Years. The Key Price Measures Show Progress Toward the Fed's 2% Target.

Data released for June showed that several "trimmed mean" inflation gauges fell to their lowest levels since the early years of the inflation surge that followed the pandemic.

International Business Times

The contrarian view for Fed rate cuts: Payrolls will weaken, inflation will plunge, and Kevin Warsh was 'largely performative' in his hawkishness

The contrarian view for Fed rate cuts: Payrolls will weaken, inflation will plunge, and Kevin Warsh was 'largely performative' in his hawkishness

"He had to sound hawkish to draw a clear line between himself and the White House."

Fed Chair Jerome Powell may seriously disappoint Wall Street at Jackson Hole

Fed Chair Jerome Powell may seriously disappoint Wall Street at Jackson Hole

“It will be difficult for policymakers to tease out one-off tariff effects from longer-lasting inflationary pressures.”

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Should You Buy These ETFs Before the Fed Cuts Rates?

The Fed is expected to cut the federal funds rate at the December Fed meeting, and investors should consider these ETFs as interest rates head lower.

The job market is flashing a classic pattern that means a recession is coming, Citi says

“The takeaway from the range of labor market data is clear—the job market is cooling in a classic pattern that precedes recession.”

Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech just got a lot less predictable

The economic data is difficult to parse, and that means Powell’s speech has become correspondingly more difficult to foretell.

The Fed could slash rates by 200 points over 8 meetings as the economy signals a sharper downtrend, Citi says

Citi sees the Fed slashing rates from 5.25%-5.5% now to 3.25%-3.5% by July 2025.

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With interest rate hikes in Jerome Powell’s rearview mirror, Wall Street starts a new guessing game: Timing when the Fed will cut

With interest rate hikes in Jerome Powell’s rearview mirror, Wall Street starts a new guessing game: Timing when the Fed will cut

With Powell touting “progress” on inflation, the Fed predicted three rate hikes next year—but many on Wall Street see four or even five.

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

Strong initial claims data is evidence that a recession in 2023 is looking less likely, many economists say.

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