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Barchart
Sohini Mondal

Is Walmart Stock Outperforming the Dow?

With a market cap of around $767 billion, Walmart Inc. (WMT) is a global retailer that operates through three main segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club. The company runs retail and wholesale stores, eCommerce platforms, and digital payment services, offering a broad assortment of merchandise, groceries, health and wellness products, and financial solutions. 

Companies valued at more than $200 billion are generally considered “mega-cap” stocks, and Walmart fits this criterion perfectly. Guided by its everyday low price (EDLP) philosophy and omni-channel strategy, Walmart helps customers save money and live better by seamlessly integrating in-store and online shopping experiences.

 

Shares of the Bentonville, Arkansas-based company have decreased 9% from its 52-week high of $105.30. Over the past three months, its shares have declined 1.3%, underperforming the broader Dow Jones Industrials Average's ($DOWI) 7.8% gain during the same period.

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Longer term, WMT stock is up 6.1% on a YTD basis, slightly lagging behind DOWI's 7% rise. However, shares of the company have returned nearly 26% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming DOWI’s 10.8% increase over the same time frame.

The stock has been in a bullish trend, consistently trading above its 200-day moving averages since last year.

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Walmart shares fell 4.5% on Aug. 21 after its Q2 2026 adjusted EPS came in at $0.68, missing the consensus estimate despite revenue rising 4.8% year-over-year to $177.4 billion, above the estimate. Operating income declined 8.2% to $7.3 billion, pressured by discrete legal and restructuring costs, higher liability claims, wage increases, and strategic investments that offset strong e-commerce and membership income growth.

Additionally, WMT stock has performed better than its rival, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST). COST stock has returned 3.3% YTD and 6.6% over the past 52 weeks.

Due to WMT's outperformance over the past year, analysts remain bullish about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of “Strong Buy” from 37 analysts in coverage, and the mean price target of $112.97 is a premium of 17.3% to current levels.

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