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The Latest Breaking News from Reserve Bank

New Zealand forecasts recession in 2023 as it delivers largest rate hike in history

New Zealand’s reserve bank says spending levels still need to be reduced with rate rises, in order to tame inflation

The Guardian - AU

Business output shrinks for second month

Demand for services has cooled off but manufacturing conditions remain relatively robust, according to a new survey.

AAP

RBA governor Philip Lowe warns Australians to brace for higher inflation, lower growth

The Reserve Bank governor warns the global economic conditions that helped central banks keep inflation low and stable are reversing, making for more economically volatile times, and potentially higher interest rates ahead.

ABC News

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RBA leaves 50bp rate hike on the table

The Reserve Bank is prepared to do whatever is necessary to ensure the spike in inflation is only temporary and doesn't linger.

AAP

It's time to add climate change and net-zero emissions to the RBA's top 3 economic goals

Increasingly, climate change is at the centre of government decision-making.

The Conversation

Alan Kohler: The right to strike, and recessions we have to have

Ostensibly Labor's workplace laws are about "getting wages moving", but what it really comes down to is the right for workers to strike.

The New Daily

Michael Pascoe: Once more for the dummies – we need higher wages

Inflation is more than double the headline wages growth – wages are lagging, not leading, Michael Pascoe writes.

The New Daily

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What's your personal rate of inflation?

Your lifestyle could be limiting the impacts of inflation, or subjecting you to the worst of it. Take our quiz to find out.

ABC News

RBA signals it may pause further interest rate rises

Minutes of November Reserve Bank of Australia meeting say board is ‘prepared to keep rates unchanged’ while it assesses state of economy and inflation

The Guardian - AU

RBA admits rates forward guidance faults

The prescriptive cash rate predictions seen during COVID-19 caused serious communication challenges, a Reserve Bank review has found.

AAP

RBA flags rate pause but more rises likely

Mortgage holders are likely to endure more rate hikes but the central bank board wants to give its policy tightening a chance to flow through the economy.

AAP

Deutsche Bank forecasts Australia will enter a recession in 2023, following an expected rise in unemployment

Deutsche Bank expects Australia's unemployment rate to spike to 4.5 per cent by the end of 2023, leading to a recession under the investment bank's definition.

ABC News

Bank profits jump but rising interest rates are a double-edged sword

Australia's big four banks raked in nearly $30 billion in profits over the 2022 financial year as people struggled with the cost of living. And higher interest rates will put more mortgage borrowers at risk.

ABC News

Reserve Bank of Australia rejects 'scorched earth' policy to tame inflation with faster interest rate rises

The Reserve Bank of Australia will not hesitate to raise interest rates "quite quickly" if there are signs inflation is getting too far out of control, its deputy governor says.

ABC News

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Newsroom.co.nz

Open banking will give control to customers – but it comes with risks

To those who have grown up with the idea that keeping our money safe means a heavy bank vault inside a big stone building, opening up access to third parties sounds scary.

The Guardian - AU

You can’t eat GDP: why Australian households are in for a massive, historic hit

Very smart people are nodding and suggesting the economy needs to slow to get inflation under control and, well, damn the consequences

AAP

Energy prices top of mind for RBA

The second in command at the Reserve Bank says soaring energy prices could throw out its forecast and drive inflation even higher.

ABC News

New data shows the economy is going to slow significantly over the coming two years

ABS and CommSec data shows there are already signs of a slowdown as average household spending goes up 15 per cent in the past five years.

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The Conversation

In defence of RBA Governor Philip Lowe: an easy scapegoat for record interest rate rises

Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe is getting terrible press, most of it undeserved.

The Conversation

Leading economists back federal government action to curb rising gas and electricity prices

Australia’s top economists have overwhelmingly endorsed intervention to restrain gas and electricity prices, with only three of the 47 leading economists surveyed believing the best thing the government can do is to leave things to the market.

The Conversation

Fighting inflation doesn’t directly cause unemployment – but that's still the most likely outcome

You may have seen the news: in its attempts to tackle inflation, the Reserve Bank is going to increase unemployment. The idea can even seem to come right from the mouths of experts, including the bank’s governor, Adrian Orr. Speaking recently to an industry conference, he said:

AAP

Consumer habits in the RBA spotlight

How consumers and government agencies are spending their money will be closely watched by Australia's central bank as inflation bites.

ABC News

The Australian Greens say the Reserve Bank needs to be more democratically accountable

The Australian Greens say the federal government's review of the Reserve Bank should re-imagine how monetary policy should work for the 21st century.

The Guardian - AU

Can Labor provide cost-of-living relief without feeding inflation and interest rates? An expert panel responds

Anthony Albanese says the government can’t afford to provide energy payments or other relief because to do so would put even more pressure on the RBA to raise interest rates – is he right? Three economists have their say

The Guardian - AU

New Zealand the ‘kiwi in the coalmine’ as house prices slump and repayments rise

World is watching as experts warn some borrowers could soon owe more than their house is worth

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