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The Latest Breaking News from Keir Giles

Russia intensifies assaults on Ukraine ahead of Trump’s inauguration

Putin’s army is stepping up attacks in an apparent bid to strengthen Trump’s argument for cutting aid to Kyiv.

Al Jazeera

Could Russian ‘hybrid warfare’ trigger NATO retaliation?

German intelligence chief says Russia’s hybrid war could prompt NATO allies to invoke the mutual defence Article 5.

Al Jazeera

How does Trump envoy Keith Kellogg want to end the Russia-Ukraine war?

Here’s how Kellogg’s plan to end the war in Ukraine compares with Trump’s and Zelenskyy’s plans.

Al Jazeera

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Ukraine fires UK-made Storm Shadow missiles at Russia: What we know

A day after Kyiv fires the Anglo-French missiles into Russia, Moscow hits Ukraine with an ICBM, reports say.

Al Jazeera

Putin lowers bar for nuclear strike amid Ukraine attacks: Why it matters

Experts say Putin’s announcement is aimed at stopping the West from allowing Ukraine to use long-range missiles.

Al Jazeera

Why are Storm Shadow missiles a new flashpoint between Putin and the West?

Could lifting of restrictions on use of long-range missiles spell escalation of hostilities between Russia and the West?

Al Jazeera

Why is Russia changing its nuclear doctrine amid the Ukraine war?

Russia’s nuclear threats over the course of the war are a tactic to contain US involvement in Ukraine, experts say.

Al Jazeera

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As Ukraine war rages, Russia activates sabotage plans in Europe: Experts

Russia is accused of putting into effect psychological, economic and military operations planned by the USSR.

Al Jazeera

Russia claims Alexei Navalny died of 'sudden death syndrome' as mother searches for body

Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny died from a heart attack at a Siberian penal colony where temperatures plummet to -30C, it is claimed.

Evening Standard

What we can expect from the war in Ukraine in 2024

Kyiv’s forces are likely to remain on the defensive for much of next year, writes Keir Giles. That is unless the West finally gets fully behind the idea that Putin’s war aims will only change if his hand is forced

The Independent UK

How Ukraine’s battle for the Black Sea is inflicting serious pain on Putin’s forces

Russia has used the waters to launch missile assaults on Ukraine’s cities and blockade its ports. Now Kyiv is fighting back in a big way

The Independent UK

How Ukraine’s battle for the Black Sea is inflicting serious pain on Putin’s forces

Russia has used the waters to launch missile assaults on Ukraine’s cities and blockade its ports. Now Kyiv is fighting back in a big way

The Independent UK

How Ukraine’s battle for the Black Sea is inflicting serious pain on Putin’s forces

Russia has used the waters to launch missile assaults on Ukraine’s cities and blockade its ports. Now Kyiv is fighting back in a big way

The Independent UK

Tech giants hold huge sway in matters of war, life and death. That should concern us all

Elon Musk’s hindrance of a Ukraine attack via Starlink caused a row. But other firms have similar power, and need scrutiny, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

The Guardian - UK

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The Independent UK

Putin’s three biggest issues revealed as Ukraine counteroffensive puts Russia on the defensive

Ukraine’s counter-offensive breakthrough will come as a “shock” to Russian President Vladimir Putin

The Independent UK

The three reasons Putin will be terrified of Ukraine’s counteroffensive win

Ukraine’s counter-offensive breakthrough will come as a “shock” to Russian President Vladimir Putin

The Independent UK

While world media speculates on Wagner chief's presumed death, Russian state media shies away

News that Russia’s Wagner mercenary chief was believed dead in a plane crash has dominated world reports, along with speculation that it might be linked to his June mutiny

The Independent UK

‘Wagner is victim of its own brand name’: How much of a threat does mercenary group pose in Belarus?

Any attempt to breach Ukraine’s northern border would make no logistical sense, experts tell The Independent

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The Independent UK

‘Wagner is victim of its own brand name’: How much of a threat does mercenary group pose in Belarus?

Any attempt to breach Ukraine’s northern border would make no logistical sense, experts tell The Independent

The Independent UK

Experts warn Ukraine’s frontline push is being damaged by West

Pressure for a ‘Hollywood-style’ breakthough against Russia’s forces is unrealistic, war analysts tell The Independent

The Independent UK

Bluffing or not, Putin’s declared deployment of nuclear weapons to Belarus ramps up saber-rattling

Sometime this summer, if President Vladimir Putin can be believed, Russia moved some of its short-range nuclear weapons into Belarus, closer to Ukraine and onto the doorstep of NATO’s members in Central and Eastern Europe

The Guardian - AU

What happened in the Russia-Ukraine war this week? Catch up with the must-read news and analysis

A mutiny launched by Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin fizzled out in 24 hours but the aftershocks will continue to be felt for months – and beyond

The Guardian - UK

Ukraine’s biggest enemy is the western belief that it cannot beat Putin. Now is the time to rethink that

We must think beyond helping Kyiv survive and aim for Zelenskiy to actually win, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

Al Jazeera

‘All bets are off’: An uncertain future after Wagner mutiny

Speculation abounds on social media, but experts warn against drawing conclusions on the fate of the Wagner Group.

The Guardian - UK

Prigozhin and Wagner could not challenge Putin’s power directly, but they exposed his weakening grip

The insurrection wasn’t going stop the war: Prigozhin shared Putin’s aims in Ukraine. But a distracted Russia is good for the world

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