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The Latest Breaking News from Essential

Albanese and Labor slump to worst position in Newspoll since 2022 election

A national Newspoll, conducted October 30 to November 3 from a sample of 1,220 people, gave Labor a 52–48% lead over the Coalition, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the final Newspoll before the October 14 Voice referendum. This is Labor’s narrowest lead in Newspoll since the 2022 federal…

The Conversation

Labor recovers in Morgan after post-referendum slump; LNP leads in Queensland

A federal Morgan poll, conducted October 22–29 from a sample of 1,375, gave Labor a 53–47 lead, a 3.5-point gain for Labor since the previous week. An earlier poll, taken in the week after the Voice referendum was heavily defeated, was the first by any pollster this term to give…

The Conversation

Morning Mail: voters lose urgency on climate fight, Stan Grant tackles voice failure, Netanyahu rejects ceasefire

Our latest Essential poll shows only one in three believe target can be met, while the Indigenous academic issues broadside over no vote

The Guardian - AU

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The Guardian - AU

Guardian Essential poll: most voters don’t believe Australia will meet Labor’s net zero by 2050 target

Almost three-quarters say development of renewables should not ‘come at the expense of local communities’ and half support nuclear energy

The Guardian - AU

Indigenous Australians supported Voice referendum by large margins; Labor retains large Newspoll lead

With 79% of enrolled voters counted nationally, “no” has won the Voice referendum by a 60.7–39.3 margin. “No” has easily won in every state and territory except the ACT.

The Conversation

Morning Mail: nation split on way forward after vote, granny flat push, Australia break World Cup duck

Guardian Essential poll shows support for more action but division over the right path; judge considers imposing limited gag order on Donald Trump in election trial

The Guardian - AU

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Labour jumps but not enough in latest NZ poll

Chris Luxon would lead a coalition government of National, ACT and New Zealand First, according to the latest poll result ahead of the October 14 election.

AAP

Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Labour picks up steam days out from election

Governing party still trails National as NZ First’s support grows, strengthening Winston Peters’ position in any rightwing coalition

The Guardian - AU

New polling shows 'no' voters more likely to see Australia as already divided

As campaigning in the referendum on an Indigenous Voice to Parliament continues, “no” campaigners have repeatedly argued against what they call “the Voice of division”.

The Conversation

Voice support up in Essential poll, but it is still behind

The referendum on the Indigenous Voice to parliament will be held on October 14. A national Essential poll, conducted September 27 to October 1 from a sample of 1,125, gave “no” to the Voice a 49–43 lead, a narrowing from a 51–41 “no” lead a fortnight ago.

The Conversation

Support for both the Voice and Labor drop in latest Essential poll

A majority of Australians have indicated they will vote “no” in the upcoming referendum on the Indigenous Voice to Parliament, according to a national Essential poll conducted Sept. 13–17 from a sample of 1,135 people.

The Conversation

Morning Mail: poll shows majority against voice, push to fight ‘shrinkflation’, $6bn Iran prisoner deal

Essential survey still has hope for yes camp with 29% still ‘persuadable’; supermarkets urged to use labels to show downsizing

The Guardian - AU

NZ election 2023: with a month to go, polls point to a right-wing coalition government

The New Zealand general election to be held in one month, on October 14, will be the country’s tenth under the mixed member proportional system (MMP).

The Conversation

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The Conversation

NZ election 2023: combined poll trends now show a clear rightward shift since June

With exactly one month until New Zealand’s general election, all major polls are now showing a clear rightward trend since June.

The Guardian - AU

Indigenous voice to parliament no campaign leading in every state, poll analysis shows

Support for voice has dropped by 21 percentage points nationally in the past year, according to Guardian Australia’s poll tracker

The Guardian - AU

Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Winston Peters in position to become election kingmaker

Latest survey sees support for New Zealand First exceed 5% for second month as Labour falters and National remains unchanged ahead of October election

The Conversation

Voice support and Albanese's ratings continue to tumble in Resolve and other polls

The referendum on the Indigenous Voice to parliament will be held on October 14. A national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted September 6–9 from a sample of 1,604, gave “no” to the Voice a 57–43 lead in a forced choice, out from a 54–46 “no” lead in August. Initial…

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The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: ‘Hard no’ grows against voice, more Qantas turbulence, Neymar’s ‘living hell’

No vote hardens despite yes launch, Guardian Essential poll shows, as airline executives face calls to hand bonuses back

The Guardian - AU

More voters intend to vote no to Indigenous voice despite yes campaign launch, Essential poll finds

But some voters remain open to persuasion, with 12% characterising their voice support as a soft yes, 7% are a soft no and 10% are unsure

The Conversation

As referendum set for October 14, 'yes' is behind and the poll trends are unfavourable

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese today announced that the referendum on an Indigenous Voice to parliament will be held on October 14. To succeed, a constitutional referendum requires a majority in at least four of the six states as well as a national majority.

The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: poll backs rent caps, Catholic hospitals refusing abortions, Trump set US$200,000 bond

Our latest Essential poll shows three-quarters back help for tenants, and we reveal how publicly funded facilities are limiting women’s care

The Guardian - AU

Essential poll: three in four Australians say rents should be capped to inflation or frozen until economy improves

Housing tussle between Labor and the Greens does not impact PM’s popularity with 37% feeling positive about Anthony Albanese

The Guardian - AU

Youthquake rumbles to a stop? Support for the left falls among New Zealand’s young voters

Bucking global trends, polls find young voter support higher for National and right coalition than Labour as election nears

The Conversation

'No' to the Voice takes lead in Essential poll; huge swing to Libs at WA state byelection

A national Essential poll, conducted August 2–6 from a sample of 1,150, gave “no” to the Indigenous Voice to parliament a 47–43 lead, reversing a 47–43 lead for “yes” in this poll in early July. While Newspoll and Resolve polls had given “no” a lead in June, this is the…

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