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The Latest Breaking News from Essential

Labor regains lead in Newspoll after tie, but Freshwater has a 50--50 tie

A national Newspoll, conducted December 11–15 from a sample of 1,219, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, a two-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll three weeks ago that had a 50–50 tie. Primary votes were 36% Coalition (down two), 33% Labor (up two), 13% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation…

The Conversation

Morning Mail: poll shows cost-of-living struggle, anger over Cop28 draft deal, Australian women win Globe nods

Guardian Essential poll shows Australians increasingly worried about their finances, while Chris Bowen says Saudis are blocking breakthrough on fossil fuel ‘phase-out’

The Guardian - AU

Extra senators for ACT and NT will benefit left but increase malapportionment

The Poll Bludger has summarised the final report of the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters (JSCEM) that was released Monday. The most contentious recommendation is that the number of senators for both the ACT and the Northern Territory be increased from two to four.

The Conversation

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Federal Labor barely ahead in latest polls; Victorian Labor takes a hit but holds Mulgrave at byelection

There have been three federal polls since my October 13 article on the federal Resolve poll that still had Labor far ahead. These polls show a tie in Morgan and two two-point Labor leads in YouGov and Essential. There has been a clear trend to the Coalition in polls conducted…

The Conversation

More Australians support providing assistance to Palestine than Israel in Gaza conflict, Essential poll finds

But majority want Australia to stay out of the conflict entirely as less than a third of those polled approve of federal government’s response

The Guardian - AU

Labor still far ahead in Resolve poll, in contrast to other recent polls

A federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted November 1–5 from a sample of 1,602, gave Labor 35% of the primary vote (down two since October), the Coalition 30% (down one), the Greens 13% (up one), One Nation 7% (steady), the UAP 2% (steady), independents 9% (steady) and others 4%…

The Conversation

Morning Mail: Albanese hails China visit, borrowers brace for rate hike, Trump on the stand

The prime minister says meeting Xi Jinping will ‘take forward’ relations with Beijing; RBA tipped to pile agony on financially stretched households

The Guardian - AU

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Melbourne Cup: most Australians have little or no interest in ‘race that stops the nation’, Essential poll finds

Only 11% of respondents to survey say they have ‘high interest’, down five points from before last year’s race

The Guardian - AU

Majority of Australians struggling financially, Essential poll finds

Almost a quarter of households say interest rate rises are having a ‘very negative’ impact, as the RBA considers a 13th rate rise this cycle

The Guardian - AU

Albanese and Labor slump to worst position in Newspoll since 2022 election

A national Newspoll, conducted October 30 to November 3 from a sample of 1,220 people, gave Labor a 52–48% lead over the Coalition, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the final Newspoll before the October 14 Voice referendum. This is Labor’s narrowest lead in Newspoll since the 2022 federal…

The Conversation

Labor recovers in Morgan after post-referendum slump; LNP leads in Queensland

A federal Morgan poll, conducted October 22–29 from a sample of 1,375, gave Labor a 53–47 lead, a 3.5-point gain for Labor since the previous week. An earlier poll, taken in the week after the Voice referendum was heavily defeated, was the first by any pollster this term to give…

The Conversation

Morning Mail: voters lose urgency on climate fight, Stan Grant tackles voice failure, Netanyahu rejects ceasefire

Our latest Essential poll shows only one in three believe target can be met, while the Indigenous academic issues broadside over no vote

The Guardian - AU

Border town saved from blaze – as it happened

This blog is now closed.

The Guardian - AU

Guardian Essential poll: most voters don’t believe Australia will meet Labor’s net zero by 2050 target

Almost three-quarters say development of renewables should not ‘come at the expense of local communities’ and half support nuclear energy

The Guardian - AU

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The Conversation

Indigenous Australians supported Voice referendum by large margins; Labor retains large Newspoll lead

With 79% of enrolled voters counted nationally, “no” has won the Voice referendum by a 60.7–39.3 margin. “No” has easily won in every state and territory except the ACT.

The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: nation split on way forward after vote, granny flat push, Australia break World Cup duck

Guardian Essential poll shows support for more action but division over the right path; judge considers imposing limited gag order on Donald Trump in election trial

AAP

Labour jumps but not enough in latest NZ poll

Chris Luxon would lead a coalition government of National, ACT and New Zealand First, according to the latest poll result ahead of the October 14 election.

The Guardian - AU

Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Labour picks up steam days out from election

Governing party still trails National as NZ First’s support grows, strengthening Winston Peters’ position in any rightwing coalition

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The Conversation

New polling shows 'no' voters more likely to see Australia as already divided

As campaigning in the referendum on an Indigenous Voice to Parliament continues, “no” campaigners have repeatedly argued against what they call “the Voice of division”.

The Conversation

Voice support up in Essential poll, but it is still behind

The referendum on the Indigenous Voice to parliament will be held on October 14. A national Essential poll, conducted September 27 to October 1 from a sample of 1,125, gave “no” to the Voice a 49–43 lead, a narrowing from a 51–41 “no” lead a fortnight ago.

The Conversation

Support for both the Voice and Labor drop in latest Essential poll

A majority of Australians have indicated they will vote “no” in the upcoming referendum on the Indigenous Voice to Parliament, according to a national Essential poll conducted Sept. 13–17 from a sample of 1,135 people.

The Guardian - AU

Morning Mail: poll shows majority against voice, push to fight ‘shrinkflation’, $6bn Iran prisoner deal

Essential survey still has hope for yes camp with 29% still ‘persuadable’; supermarkets urged to use labels to show downsizing

The Conversation

NZ election 2023: with a month to go, polls point to a right-wing coalition government

The New Zealand general election to be held in one month, on October 14, will be the country’s tenth under the mixed member proportional system (MMP).

The Conversation

NZ election 2023: combined poll trends now show a clear rightward shift since June

With exactly one month until New Zealand’s general election, all major polls are now showing a clear rightward trend since June.

The Guardian - AU

Indigenous voice to parliament no campaign leading in every state, poll analysis shows

Support for voice has dropped by 21 percentage points nationally in the past year, according to Guardian Australia’s poll tracker

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