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Vladimir Putin would fire nuke under two doomsday scenarios, expert says


There are two circumstances under which Russian President Vladimir Putin would use nuclear weapons, according to an expert.

In a rare address to the Russian nation on Wednesday, the tyrant gave a clear message - that his country is willing to use nuclear weapons if Ukraine continues its offensive operations.

The despot also said that he was prepared to use any means and “all means” necessary to defend the “territorial integrity” of the Russian-occupied lands and their people - adding: “ This is not a bluff.”

Now, a senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) International Security Program, Mark F. Cancian has narrowed down the two conditions under which Putin would use the nuclear weapons.

Expert Mark F. Cancian has outloined the two circumstances in which Vladimir Putin would use nuclear weapons (CSIS)

The senior adviser outlined both situations, saying: "One is that NATO troops actually entered Ukraine, and the other is of Ukrainian troops actually entered Russian territory".

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Over the past few days, false reports have been released on Russian television and social media channels that NATO troops are actively involved in the war.

However, Edward Arnold at the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi) - a defence and security think tank - said: "There is no evidence of Nato ground forces participating in Ukraine.

"Nor of Nato commanders directing Ukrainian units on the battlefield," he added.

"There is also a very low likelihood of this happening in the future as Nato seeks to mitigate escalation risks."

The second situation of Ukrainian troops entering Russian territory may prove difficult as it would support Russia’s claim that invading Ukraine was and is a “defensive” war.

Cancian has warned that Putin's proclamation of the use of nuclear weapons should not be taken lightly (Bloomberg via Getty Images)

And so far, there are no public indications that Ukraine is even contemplating sending ground troops into Russia

Cancian however claims that he "doubts Putin will use nukes", but has admitted that his declarations are a "concern".

He said: "It has the potential to destabilise what has been a relatively stable arrangement between the two sides."

Admitting that if Russia were to deploy the use of nuclear weapons, this would extend the war for a period of time.

However, Cancian has said that this could pose an issue, as "they are very short on personnel."

Because "Putin had to do something" he declared this week that the country would be entering partial mobilisation - meaning military reservists would be called up into active service.

Cancian added that despite being short on soldiers, Putin's motive and strategy behind this is: "clearly to keep the war going until the winter and hope that a cold and uncomfortable winter convinces the Europeans to push forward an armistice and lean on the Ukrainians to make some agreement about freezing in place an armistice, that would give the Russians the breather that they need."

On Wednesday, the Russian tyrant addressed his nation - saying that a partial mobilisation would begin immediately (1tv.ru)

The CSIS adviser has warned that Putin's proclamation of the use of nuclear weapons should not be taken lightly.

But the 'bluff' is not just a "bluster" either, adding: "But it is not an immediate threat. He has said this sort of thing before.

"The intelligence services are saying they are not doing the kinds of things they would need to do if they are going to use nuclear weapons."

Cancian has also given a huge claim, stating that Russia may not use the nuclear weapons as it is "running out of missiles". He said: "the Russian problem has not been a lack of equipment, the greater problem is equipment and supplies to the front lines where it needs to be."

The senior adviser has claimed that Vladimir Putin is 'very short on personnel' for the war on Ukraine (SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)

However, he continued to say that Russians are in a very vulnerable position as: "Russia does not have the kind of reserve system the US and the UK has."

Meanwhile, Cancian also spoke on the gas price volatility in Britain and the rest of Europe following as Russia's decision to shut down its pipeline indefinitely.

Cancian said: "I think they have particularly kept their eye on the UK and Germany and hope that as the winter gets cold and energy supplies are inadequate, prices rise and people get cold, they will push their governments to lean on Ukraine and make a deal."

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