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Golf Monthly
Golf Monthly
Sport
Jonny Leighfield

Tour Championship 2025 Odds, Predictions And Picks To Win

(top left) Ludvig Aberg smiles, (top right) Tommy Fleetwood smiles, (bottom left) Rory McIlroy looks on, (bottom right) Russell Henley looks on and Scottie Scheffler holds up the FedEx Cup (centre).

The PGA Tour's FedEx Cup Playoffs have reached their final stop, and all that is left to decide is who will be crowned Tour Championship winner.

The best 30 players from the PGA Tour have battled to make it this far with the chance to claim the $10 million top prize their one remaining goal.

However, to make that happen, they will have to squeeze past the former runaway FedEx Cup leader and the outright sportsbook favorite, Scottie Scheffler.

It won't be as hard as previous years, though, because the Starting Strokes format has disappeared and everyone will start their first of four rounds at East Lake at even par - even Scheffler.

Below, we have listed the outright winner odds for every player in the field this week as well as our picks to win the 2025 Tour Championship.

Scottie Scheffler won his first FedEx Cup in 2024 (Image credit: Getty Images)

Tour Championship Course Fast Facts

  • Course Name: East Lake Golf Club
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Established: 1904
  • Par: 70
  • Yardage: 7,440
  • Course Record: 60 (Zach Johnson - 2007)
  • Times Hosted Tour Championship: 24
The 18th hole at East Lake Golf Club (Image credit: Getty Images)

Tour Championship Previous Winners

Year

Champion

Winning Score

2024

Scottie Scheffler

-30 (started -10) - (four strokes)

2023

Viktor Hovland

-27 (started -8) - (five strokes)

2022

Rory McIlroy

-21 (started -4) - (one stroke)

2021

Patrick Cantlay

-21 (started -10) - (one stroke)

2020

Dustin Johnson

-21 (started -10) - (three strokes)

2019

Rory McIlroy

-18 (started -5) - (four strokes)

2018

Tiger Woods

-11 (two strokes)

2017

Xander Schauffele

-12 (one stroke)

2016

Rory McIlroy

-12 (playoff - Kevin Chappell, Ryan Moore)

2015

Jordan Spieth

-9 (four strokes)

Tour Championship Tournament Betting Odds

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Outright winner odds from BetMGM (odds correct at time of publishing)

  • Scottie Scheffler (+170)
  • Rory McIlroy (+850)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+1200)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+1600)
  • Russell Henley (+1600)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
  • Sam Burns (+2500)
  • Cameron Young (+2800)
  • Justin Thomas (+2800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)
  • JJ Spaun (+3000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+3300)
  • Ben Griffin (+3300)
  • Robert MacIntyre (+3300)
  • Maverick McNealy (+3300)
  • Sepp Straka (+3300)
  • Harris English (+4500)
  • Harry Hall (+4500)
  • Justin Rose (+4500)
  • Keegan Bradley (+4500)
  • Corey Conners (+5000)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+5000)
  • Shane Lowry (+5500)
  • Chris Gotterup (+5500)
  • Brian Harman (+6600)
  • Sungjae Im (+6600)
  • Nick Taylor (+10000)
  • Jacob Bridgeman (+10000)
  • Andrew Novak (+12500)

Tour Championship Betting Picks

(Image credit: Getty Images)

Pick One: Rory McIlroy +850 To Win @ BetMGM

I can’t tell you not to back Scottie Scheffler this week but who else could be worth a look aside from the World No.1? Step in Rory McIlroy. The Masters champion said he found something on the back nine at Caves Valley where he made four birdies in his final eight holes to finish T12 at the BMW.

McIlroy is a three-time FedEx Cup winner and I wouldn’t back against him making it four. The Northern Irishman loves East Lake so I like his chances this week, especially as it feels like he is due another big week having had a winless summer after his third victory of 2025 in Augusta.

Pick Two: Russell Henley +1600 To Win @ BetMGM

Henley is ranked fourth in the world right now and could certainly be the man to spoil Scottie Scheffler’s party this weekend. The man from just south of Atlanta was fourth here last year in terms of 72 hole scores and T13th in 2023, and is currently on a six-event run of finishing inside the top-17. He also has a runner-up finish in that spell at the Travelers Championship.

The 36-year-old is undoubtedly the most underrated player in the men’s game right now so don’t be surprised if he is the man lifting the FedEx Cup on Sunday evening.

(Image credit: Getty Images)

Pick One: Rory McIlroy +850 To Win @ BetMGM

Scheffler is the clear favorite, but, after making his competitive return last week, I believe McIlroy could spring a surprise with what are generous odds for someone of his quality.

Possessing an excellent record around East Lake, claiming multiple victories, the 36-year-old will be looking to secure his first win since The Masters ahead of what is a busy stretch of golf for him.

Finishing T12th last week at the BMW Championship, he didn't have his best stuff, but sounded confident following his final round. A confident McIlroy is a dangerous McIlroy, which is why I'm backing him to add another Tour Championship to his CV.

Pick Two: Sam Burns +2500 To Win @ BetMGM

I was 50/50 on whether to back Russell Henley or Burns but, in the end, I've gone with the latter, who produced a T4th at last week's BMW Championship, firing four solid rounds in the 60s.

As of writing, Burns isn't guaranteed a spot on the US Ryder Cup side, but with a strong result at East Lake, you would like to think he would be part of the 12-man team in September.

Previous course form is a good indicator that Burns likes the East Lake layout. In 2024, he would have finished T13th without the starting strokes and, the previous year, would have ended T4th.

(Image credit: Getty Images)

Pick One: Scottie Scheffler +170 To Win @ BetMGM

If you have X number of dollars to bet and you want to put half on any player in the 30-man field, I'd heartily recommend putting them on Scottie Scheffler. His odds are possibly the lowest they've been all season, but because they're positive and he's such a cheat code right now, I still think it's worth a punt.

It doesn't matter who his caddie is or where he's playing or even - at times - how he's playing, Scheffler finds a way to get the job done. At a course which requires all areas of a player's game to be on point, there is only one man you can feel completely confident in.

Pick Two: Tommy Fleetwood +1200 @ BetMGM

If there is one other player who has been almost as consistent as Scheffler in the Playoffs, at least, it's Tommy Fleetwood. The Englishman has averaged 67 strokes per round through the first two FedEx Cup Playoff events and very nearly tasted success on the PGA Tour at the FedEx St Jude Championship.

He said he would remain positive despite the failure, and he did by coming out and finishing T4th at the BMW Championship days later. Apparently unshaken by a couple of recent near misses, I would love to see Fleetwood snatch the Tour Championship from under the nose of Scheffler and stick it to all those who continue to doubt him.

How To Watch The Tour Championship

US/ET

  • Thursday, August 21 - Round One: 1:00pm - 6:00pm (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App)
  • Friday, August 22 - Round Two: 1:00pm - 6:00pm (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App)
  • Saturday, August 23 - Round Three: 1:00pm - 2:30pm (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), 2:30pm - 6:00pm (NBC/Peacock)
  • Sunday, August 24 - Round Four: 12:00pm - 1:30pm (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), 1:30pm - 6:00pm (NBC/Peacock)

UK/BST

  • Thursday, August 21 - Round One: 6:00pm - 11:00pm (Sky Sports Golf)
  • Friday, August 22 - Round Two: 6:00pm - 11:00pm (Sky Sports Golf)
  • Saturday, August 23 - Round Three: 5:30pm - 12:00am (Sky Sports Golf)
  • Sunday, August 24 - Round Four: 5:00pm - 11:00pm (Sky Sports Golf)

Golf Monthly Betting Picks: Wins In 2025

Player

Event

Price

GM Staff Member

Richard Mansell

Porsche Singapore Classic

+6000

Matt Cradock

Eugenio Chacarra

Hero Indian Open

+3500

Elliott Heath

Sergio Garcia

LIV Golf Hong Kong

+2200

Jonny Leighfield

Ludvig Aberg

Genesis Invitational

+2200

Matt Cradock

Laurie Canter

Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship

+2200

Jonny Leighfield/Matt Cradock

Joaquin Niemann

LIV Golf UK

+900

Matt Cradock

Tyrrell Hatton

Hero Dubai Desert Classic

+900

Jonny Leighfield

Joaquin Niemann

LIV Golf Virginia

+750

Jonny Leighfield

Rory McIlroy

The Masters

+650

Barry Plummer

Scottie Scheffler

PGA Championship

+400

Matt Cradock/Elliott Heath

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