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Wales Online
Wales Online
Sport
Ben James

The Rugby World Cup result predictor tipping Wales to reach the final

A World Cup predictor has given Wales a 46% chance of making the final.

New Zealand website Stuff's Rugby World Cup Power Rankings has Warren Gatland's men as second favourites to reach the final on November 2 - with New Zealand ahead of them with a 57% chance of getting to the last showdown.

England are next with a 34% chance - with South Africa and Ireland further behind on 26% and 23% respectively.

Interestingly, however, England are second favourites to actually win the tournament - boasting a 23% chance of lifting the Webb Ellis Cup.

New Zealand are top with 40%, while Wales are third with 20%.

Again, it's Ireland and South Africa next with 9% and 6%.

Australia are the closet after those five - but Michael Cheika's men are only given a 7% shot at reaching the final and a 2% chance of winning the while thing.

Stuff's Power Rankings use four decades of international rugby results to give each team a rating that reflects their strength relative to the other teams.

Taking the ratings and the fixtures into account, it forecasts each team's chances of advancing to various stages of the tournament, and of ultimately lifting the Cup.

It also forecasts the outcome of each game. Rather than trying to "pick" a winner, the game forecasts show each team's probability of winning based on the difference in rating between teams.

After each game is played, ratings will change based on the result and the points margin. New ratings will then be used to update the forecasts for every team and every remaining match.

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