- The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has warned that Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £41 billion shortfall in public finances.
- This deficit, projected by 2029-30, is attributed to Labour's policy reversals, increased borrowing, and sluggish economic growth.
- NIESR suggests the Chancellor must either raise taxes, cut public spending, or abandon her fiscal rules to address the 'impossible trilemma' of balancing commitments.
- Tax increases are considered the more probable solution, with NIESR highlighting that the poorest 10 per cent of households have already experienced a 1.3 per cent drop in living standards under Labour.
- The think tank also noted that the Chancellor's current £9.9 billion financial buffer is insufficient and proposed a potential rewrite of the government's fiscal rules.
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