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Senate Negotiators Struggle to Finalize Bipartisan Deal on Ukraine Aid

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg walks through the U.S. Capitol between meetings with Republican and Democratic leaders, Tuesday, Jan. 30, 2024, on Capitol Hill in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquel

In the midst of ongoing negotiations in Congress, the fate of Ukraine's defense hangs in the balance. Senate negotiators have been working tirelessly to finalize a bipartisan deal that would provide much-needed aid to Ukraine, but they have faced significant pushback from House Republicans and former President Donald Trump. This resistance has caused delays and raised concerns about whether the deal will ever come to fruition.

The details of the bipartisan package on border enforcement and immigration policies, which were intended to garner Republican support for aiding Ukraine, have been shrouded in secrecy. However, conservatives are growing increasingly skeptical of the proposed billions of dollars in support, unmoved by arguments about the importance of bolstering global security. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has been making a compelling case for Ukraine's aid on Capitol Hill, emphasizing the larger stakes involved.

President Joe Biden, along with Republican and Democratic leaders in the Senate, faces a daunting task of convincing Republicans to defy Trump's wishes and rally behind the deal, especially considering the upcoming election year. The potential deadline to approve additional military aid for Ukraine, which House Speaker Mike Johnson had hoped to meet by February, now seems uncertain due to the complications arising from the fight over border policies.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian troops are facing critical shortages of weapons, including air defenses and artillery, needed to defend against Russia's ongoing attacks. The Pentagon recently revealed that it has run out of funds for Ukraine, adding to the urgency of the situation. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer stressed the gravity of the situation, declaring that 'the survival of Ukraine is on the line.' He urged both sides to continue working towards a bipartisan compromise.

Even if a deal is reached and passed in the Senate, significant resistance is expected in the House, where Trump still holds considerable sway over lawmakers. Some Republican leaders have begun questioning whether the border legislation should be excluded from the package as a last-ditch effort to secure the much-needed Ukraine funding. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell stated, 'It's time for us to move something, hopefully including a border agreement, but we need to get help to Israel and Ukraine quickly.'

Despite the growing challenges, NATO's Stoltenberg pleaded with lawmakers to act, warning that Putin's ambitions extend far beyond Ukraine. He emphasized the Russian president's desire to regain influence and reshape the global order. As Russian forces and drone attacks continue to pummel the region, it becomes increasingly difficult for Ukraine to defend its cities and population.

Among the points of contention within the package is the allocation of U.S. economic aid to Ukraine. While the aid has been crucial in keeping the Ukrainian government functioning, some Republicans argue that the focus should be shifted towards military hardware rather than economic assistance. The final supplemental package is expected to see reductions in economic aid for Ukraine and changes in the amount of humanitarian aid for Gaza.

Senate Republicans initially insisted on combining border policy changes with Ukraine aid as a strategy to gain support in Congress. However, this compromise has only complicated matters further. Trump has seized upon a key provision in the bill that would expel migrants seeking asylum at the border once illegal crossings surpass 5,000 daily. His opposition to the bill has caused additional opposition within the House, with Speaker Johnson calling the provision a 'non-starter.'

Despite these challenges, Senator Kyrsten Sinema, a key player in the Senate negotiations, expressed optimism about the bill's potential. She emphasized that conservative claims about the bill allowing 5,000 migrants to enter the country daily were 'factually false.' Sinema outlined the various measures within the legislation, including raising the standard to receive asylum protection and implementing a more efficient asylum claims process.

The path forward remains uncertain as the clock ticks for Ukraine's defense. With the Senate yet to conclude negotiations and significant resistance within the House, the question of whether Ukraine will receive the aid it desperately needs remains unanswered. The survival of Ukraine, along with the larger implications for global security, hangs in the balance as policymakers continue their high-stakes deliberations.

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