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Wales Online
Wales Online
National
Steven Smith

Odds on Boris Johnson no confidence vote increase

The chances of Prime Minister Boris Johnson facing a vote of no confidence this month have risen to 38 per cent, according to a betting company.

The Betfair Barometer takes odds from the Betfair Exchange to generate a percentage chance and the figure shows a nine per cent increase this week following a series of resignations from the PM's team.

It means the odds of a vote of no confidence taking place in February are 11/8 at the time of writing.

The chances of Mr Johnson resigning have leapt to 30 per cent (12/5) overnight.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak remains the strong favourite to take the top job, at 13/8, with Liz Truss at 5/1 and Jeremy Hunt at 6/1.

Tom Tugendhat is at 7/1, Penny Mordaunt 10/1, Sajid Javid 14/1, Michael Gove 14/1, Nadhim Zahawi 20/1, Dominic Raab 25/1, Ben Wallace 25/1 and Priti Patel 33/1.

Betfair Exchange spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “A string of resignations from Boris Johnson’s team has prompted punters to back him to face a vote of no confidence and the Betfair Barometer gives him a 38 per cent chance (odds of 11/8) of facing the wrath of his peers before the end of February, a nine per cent increase from the start of the week.

“The chances of the PM resigning in February have doubled and the Betfair Barometer gives Johnson a 30 per cent (12/5) chance of joining the revolving door at Downing Street.

“Punters on Betfair Exchange are backing Rishi Sunak to swap No11 for No10 and he’s the clear 13/5 favourite to replace Johnson, ahead of Liz Truss who is next at 5/1 and Jeremy Hunt is 6/1.”

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