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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
World

Nate Silver likes Clinton's chances

Hillary Clinton
It’s all coming together. Photograph: Andrew Harnik/AP

1. Trump on two points: I’ll take it!

A survey by reputable pollster Quinnipiac University found Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump nationally by only two points, 42-40. Polling averages have her up by six or seven points.

Trump renews call for waterboarding

Thumbs weirdly up.
Thumbs weirdly up. Photograph: Cliff Owen/AP

42 > 40

2. Silver likes Clinton’s chances

Celebrated polling analyst Nate Silver unveiled his first forecast of the 2016 general election. He gave Clinton an 81% chance of taking the White House. Detractors pointed out he’s not ALWAYS right.

Silver bullish on Clinton

Four months and change to go.
Four months and change to go. Photograph: BFA/Rex/Shutterstock

3. ‘Please don’t elect Trump’ – world

Asked by Pew Research whether they had confidence in Trump’s ability to manage foreign policy, only 9% of respondents in 10 EU countries agreed. But countries where Vladimir Putin was relatively favored also rated Trump more highly.

Trump’s world numbers bad

Give peace a chance.
Give peace a chance. Photograph: Robert F Bukaty/AP

4. Two transgender nominees

Primary elections Tuesday produced America’s first-ever transgender congressional nominees, both women and both Democrats. Misty Snow was nominated to the senate in Utah and Misty Plowright was nominated to the House in Colorado.

Transgender nominees in historic first

Misty Snow won Utah’s Democratic US Senate primary.
Misty Snow won Utah’s Democratic US Senate primary. Photograph: Rick Bowmer/AP

5. Obama attends North American summit

6. Obama to campaign with Clinton

Barack Obama will appear for the first time on the campaign trail with Hillary Clinton next week in North Carolina, the White House announced. An earlier event was canceled after the Orlando mass shooting.

I want her to have this airplane.
I want you to have this airplane. Photograph: Carolyn Kaster/AP

7. Trump solicits foreign funds

Apparently owing to an e-blast-list snafu, the Trump campaign spammed elected officials in Britain, Australia, Iceland, Denmark, Finland and Canada with fundraising requests. The campaign was immediately sued for illegal fundraising.

Trump casts wide fundraising net

In the future, stick to folks in flag apparel.
In the future, stick to folks in flag apparel. Photograph: Robert F Bukaty/AP

...and another thing:

...and another thing:

...and another thing:

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