Southampton visit the Etihad on Saturday afternoon and we think Over 3.5 goals looks the safest wager
Manchester City are going to be overwhelming favourites for the majority of matches they play at the Etihad this season so it's no surprise that Pep Guardiola's side are an extremely restrictive 2/15 to brush Southampton aside on Saturday afternoon.
The Saints have yet to win a Premier League match this term and a significant contributor to that record is their inability to create big chances, with the exception of Newcastle away. Without Danny Ings to make the most of any half chances that come their way, Ralph Hasenhuttl's side are finding life tough.
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That spells trouble against a rampant City side that restricting opponents to very few opportunities, with the exception of their midweek Champions League fixture, although RB Leipzig's xGF of 1.1 suggests the German outfit certainly made the most of any half chances that came their way.
City have scored five, five and six in their three home matches so far this season in all competitions but the 5-0 scoreline feels a bit on the tight side at 12/1. 6-0 is almost double the price at 22/1.
However, the safest play at the prices looks to be over 3.5 goals at even money. This fixture produced seven goals last term and both of Southampton's away games this season have yielded four goals.
Football Betting Tips
Man City vs Southampton odds
Man City 2/15
Draw 8/1
Southampton 19/1
Get all the best Man City vs Southampton odds with Grosvenor Sport
Key Stats
Manchester City have had 87 shots in four Premier League game so far this season, almost double the total of Southampton (47).
Last week's clean sheet against West Ham was Southampton's first in the league since beating Liverpool 1-0 on January 4.
Head to Head
10 Mar, 2021: Manchester City 5-2 Southampton (Premier League)
19 Dec, 2020: Southampton 0-1 Manchester City (Premier League)
5 Jul, 2020: Southampton 1-0 Manchester City (Premier League)
