If you looked at this week's point spreads and got a headache, I feel your pain. Eleven of the 15 games are right around a field-goal spread or fewer, so expect a lot of close games.
Underdogs went 6-6-1 against the spread last week (there were two pick 'em games). For the season, they're 38-30-6 ATS with 25 outright wins. Home underdogs are 11-5-2 ATS, with eight of them winning straight up.
My most confident picks ATS this week are the Bills, Jaguars, Bucs, Cardinals and Broncos. Two games to avoid: Ravens-Titans and Chargers-Browns. Remember, I pick every game so that you don't have to.
