100s of titles, one news app for just $10 a month.
Dive Deeper:
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances go up to almost 19%, SRH's chances fall to under 13% - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the penultimate week of IPL 2022 coming to an end there are now only 9 matches left to play…
IPL 2022: DC's chances of qualification go up, RR still have an almost 92% chance - All playoffs possibilities in 12 points
With 12 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain as many as…
IPL 2022: MI and CSK out, 3 qualification spots still open - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With 11 matches left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022 now, there still remain 2,048 possible combinations…
IPL 2022: GT now guaranteed top slot, 7 teams vying for 3 remaining spots - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the IPL 2022 entering its last week there are seven remaining matches in the league stage now and 128…
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
IPL 2022: LSG & RR frontrunners to join GT in top 4 - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With just six matches left to play now in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain 64 possible…
IPL 2022: KKR's playoff chances go up, an almost 90% chance of RCB finishing in top 4: All playoff possibilities in 11 points
KKR's big 52 run win vs MI on Monday has boosted the two time champion's chances of making the final…
Get all your news in one place
Latest Sport news:
How to watch F1 Spanish GP qualifying today: TV channel and live stream for sixth pole position of 2022
Charles Leclerc is on pole for the F1 Spanish Grand Prix later today.
Read news from The Economist, FT, Bloomberg and more, with one subscription
Learn More
Newcastle Olympic put five past Maitland in much-needed win: NPLW NNSW round 9
Jemma House made her return.
Liverpool vs Wolves live stream: How can I watch Premier League game live on TV in UK today?
Liverpool will be forgiven for having an eye elsewhere as they host Wolves on the final day of the Premier…
'Very Happy' Mbappe Snubs Real Madrid to Stay at PSG
Kylian Mbappe said he was "very happy" to stay at Paris Saint-Germain after the club announced that the World Cup…
Manchester City vs Aston Villa live stream: How can I watch Premier League game live on TV in UK today?
Manchester City know the Premier League title race is very much in their own hands as they host Aston Villa…
From analysis to good news, read the world’s best news in one place
Five F1 Spanish GP updates you may have missed
Almost every Formula 1 team has new parts at its disposal in Spain this weekend as the development race ramps…
Aston Martin compromised on cooling with updated F1 "launch car"
Aston Martin Formula 1 team chief technical officer Andrew Green admits that a cooling issue has compromised the updated AMR22…

IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances less than 10%, Punjab's chances go up to almost 47% - All possibilities

By Atul Thakur | TNN

With 10 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there remain 1,024 possible combinations of results. That's down from 2048 possible combinations on Friday (May 13) morning.

TOI looked at each of these possibilities to calculate the chances of individual teams making it to the playoffs. As of Saturday morning, May 14, MI and CSK are the two teams which can’t qualify for the playoffs.

With Friday’s win, PBKS have significantly improved their probability of entering the playoffs. Among all the remaining teams vying for a top 4 berth, KKR have the bleakest possibility to qualify for the next round. So far GT is the only team that has officially qualified for the playoffs. Here is what all the possibilities look like right now:

1) MI is out of the reckoning for a playoff spot

2) CSK joined MI as the second team to be eliminated

3) KKR’s chances of making the fourth spot have slightly improved to 9.4%. The best it can hope for is a tied third spot with four to six teams or a tied fourth position with three to five contending teams

4) DC’s chances of making it to the top four slots have improved to 46.9% but at best it can hope for a joint second spot which it will share with three to five teams

5) PBKS’ chances of a top-four finish have also improved to 46.9%, but like DC it can also no longer top the points table

6) SRH’s chances of finishing in the top four spots have also improved to 28.1% though they too cannot finish at the top after the league stage

7) RCB’s chances of making it to one of the top four slots have reduced to 77.3%. After Friday’s loss, they also can no longer top the points table. At best they can be second - a spot that they could share with three to five teams

8) RR has a 92.2% chance of finishing among the top four in terms of points. But they can still drop to as low as sixth if they lose their remaining games

9) LSG in its first IPL season is now certain to get to the top three slots on points but that doesn’t ensure qualification as it can be joint first with three teams, joint second with up to five teams or joint third with up to four teams

10) GT, also in its first IPL season, has ensured qualification and can do no worse than a three-way tie for the top spot in which they finish third on net run rate

11) In short, bet on GT, LSG, RR and RCB making it to the playoffs with PBKS and DC having a relatively small, but still realistic chance of displacing RR or RCB from the playoffs race. Anything else would be a long shot.

How we calculate these probabilities:

We looked at all 1,024 current possible combinations of results with 10 matches remaining. We assumed that for any given match the chances of either side winning are even. We then look at how many of the combinations put each team in one of the top four slots by points. That gives us our probability number. To take a specific example, of the 1,024 possible result combinations currently, RR finishes first to fourth on points in 944 combinations. That translates to a 92.2% chance. We do not take net run rates or “no results” into consideration because predicting those in advance is impossible.

Come back for our updated predictions Sunday (May 15) morning, which will take into account the result of Saturday's match.

What is inkl?
The world’s most important news, from 100+ trusted global sources, in one place.
Morning Edition
Your daily
news overview

Morning Edition ensures you start your day well informed.

No paywalls, no clickbait, no ads
Enjoy beautiful reading

Content is only half the story. The world's best news experience is free from distraction: ad-free, clickbait-free, and beautifully designed.

Expert Curation
The news you need to know

Stories are ranked by proprietary algorithms based on importance and curated by real news journalists to ensure that you receive the most important stories as they break.

Dive Deeper:
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances go up to almost 19%, SRH's chances fall to under 13% - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the penultimate week of IPL 2022 coming to an end there are now only 9 matches left to play…
IPL 2022: DC's chances of qualification go up, RR still have an almost 92% chance - All playoffs possibilities in 12 points
With 12 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain as many as…
IPL 2022: MI and CSK out, 3 qualification spots still open - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With 11 matches left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022 now, there still remain 2,048 possible combinations…
IPL 2022: GT now guaranteed top slot, 7 teams vying for 3 remaining spots - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the IPL 2022 entering its last week there are seven remaining matches in the league stage now and 128…
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
IPL 2022: LSG & RR frontrunners to join GT in top 4 - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With just six matches left to play now in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain 64 possible…
IPL 2022: KKR's playoff chances go up, an almost 90% chance of RCB finishing in top 4: All playoff possibilities in 11 points
KKR's big 52 run win vs MI on Monday has boosted the two time champion's chances of making the final…
Get all your news in one place