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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Jessie Williams

How Trump could plunge US allies into chaos with Iran war decision

  • The US president has indicated a willingness to conclude the US military campaign in Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, reportedly to avoid extending the conflict beyond his four to six-week timeline.
  • Instead of a direct military effort to reopen the strait, the US president's strategy focuses on dismantling Iran’s navy and missile capabilities, alongside diplomatic efforts to restore trade flow.
  • Should diplomatic efforts fail, the US president expects European and Gulf allies, who depend on the waterway, to lead operations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is currently under a de facto blockade by Iran, which has caused significant disruption to global oil and gas supplies, leading to energy prices, including oil, surging above $100 per barrel.
  • Recent developments include Iran striking a Kuwaiti oil tanker and the US military bombing targets in Isfahan, while the US has deployed significant military assets to the region, though officials state no decision has been made for ground troops in Iran.

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