A new buyer has emerged in the
Together, 30 US companies have amassed a portfolio of cash, securities and investments worth more than
As cash piles have grown, these companies have ventured into riskier corners of financial markets, investing in corporate and securitised debt. Some have established their own trading desks and now run multibillion-dollar lending operations, businesses typically left to financiers on
"To put it into perspective, if US corporate cash was a country it would rank in the top 10 by gross domestic product," says
If a rather blunt comparison, there is no doubt that these companies have become a force in financial markets, assuming risks far beyond their core businesses and putting them at the centre of the debate over corporate tax cuts that has pitted Congressional leaders and the Trump administration against one another. Their holdings of hundreds of billions of dollars of cash and other investments overseas represent a mouthwatering prize for President
These companies, each with more than
The cash has built up over decades, the result of corporate America's expansion abroad but also its reluctance to pay taxes on those foreign profits. In 2015 cash and other financial assets held by non-financial companies topped $2tn for the first time, according to the
Given the rally in debt markets in recent years, companies are likely to be sitting on long-term gains, but the dive into debt has also opened them up to new risks. Central banks are starting to remove stimulus and the Fed has begun to lift interest rates. Several high-profile investors have sounded concerns over high bond prices this year, warning that valuations are stretched and any uptick in inflation could hit bond markets.
The sensitivity of these bonds to changes in interest rates - the value of bonds fall as rates rise - is the "single biggest risk" for companies investing excess cash, says
Companies such as
Another reason for the change in company investment strategies lies in the depths of the financial crisis, which challenged the long held belief that money market funds - conservative funds that invest in short-term debt - were foolproof. When the
These investors, including corporations, have since diversified. With central banks keeping interest rates at zero, holding cash or ultra-short-term investments became even less attractive.
"If you know you're not going to use the money, there is a high cost of keeping that liquidity,"
As a result companies park significantly less of their excess cash in money market funds and time deposits. Fed data at the end of March show companies have lowered their holdings of both to just over half of their overall cash, equivalents and selected investments, from 61 per cent pre-crisis.
"Institutions that would traditionally invest in money market funds are starting their own trading desks," says
The trend has both fed on, and driven, lower corporate borrowing costs. Highly-rated companies can borrow in the US bond market at roughly 3.1 per cent, according to Bank of America.
"[Companies] are a big component of the buyer base, particularly in the short end," says a
While financial advisers applaud such diversification, companies have made themselves more vulnerable to any uptick in rates. If interest rates rise, corporate borrowing costs will climb in tandem. At the same time, they could see losses on the bonds they own.
Driving the shift into fixed-income markets is the desire to preserve the value of billions of dollars of profits trapped abroad. Roughly
The volume of corporate bonds held in lower tax jurisdictions such as
"There's a high tax hurdle on companies bringing their income back to the US," says
The US has taxed residents on global income since 1913. And companies have been engaging in some form of profit-shifting overseas to reduce tax ever since they started expanding abroad after the second world war.
Until recently, many other developed countries did the same. But the number of
"Other countries have increasingly realised that capital is mobile, and if you try to put too high a tax on capital it can move, and it will," says
While the specifics of any tax policy reform remain unclear, a joint statement from the
But with a significant share of cash tied up in long-term investments, companies will have little incentive to liquidate portfolios early and risk trading losses - and it is highly unlikely that
Yet even if new laws do not force repatriation, investor response to policy changes could still bring huge change to the bond market and how companies manage their cash, removing one of the key accelerants of US credit markets.
But there are a number of scenarios that could play out if companies can repatriate cash whenever they choose. Their overall level of bond issuance could decline or the repatriation process itself could involve selling bonds. If investors demand companies return cash the moment it is more cheaply accessible, that could also force some groups to liquidate portfolios quickly, pressuring the bond market. "I would expect investors to be pounding the table to get the cash off the balance sheet as quickly as possible,"
For
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2017