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Bangkok Post
Bangkok Post
Business

Gains from CEO pow-wow in 2-3 years

The government's "Thailand Inc" initiative will support the country's long-term economic transformation and improve investor sentiment, although meaningful structural gains and stronger foreign fund inflows may take 2-3 years to materialise, says InnovestX Securities (INVX).

Piyasak Manason, head of economic research at INVX, said the framework marks a new policy approach in which the government is engaging directly with 17 business sectors under the concept of "businesses speak, government listens" to shape national economic strategies.

According to Mr Piyasak, the Finance Ministry plans to consolidate proposals from the public-private consultations into an action plan within six months through a Joint Public and Private Sector Consultative Committee, supported by a dashboard system to track implementation progress.

The initiative is structured around four strategic pillars: infrastructure and clean energy investment, human capital development, the creation of new economic growth engines, and the removal of structural bottlenecks alongside stronger anti-corruption measures.

The infrastructure agenda includes investment in clean energy and water management systems to mitigate El Niño-related risks, while the human capital strategy aims to attract highly skilled workers and leverage more than 1.8 trillion baht in foreign direct investment (FDI) to transfer technology and strengthen Thai businesses.

The government also wants to position Thailand as a regional hub for the wellness, financial, digital and logistics sectors, while accelerating reforms in urban planning regulations, Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) development, approval procedures and governance standards.

Mr Piyasak said these measures could lift Thai GDP growth by 0.2-0.4% this year, potentially pushing expansion beyond the 1.4% forecast if the government's 400-billion-baht borrowing plan and related policy actions are implemented effectively during the second half of the year.

However, he noted the near-term impact on the Stock Exchange of Thailand is likely to remain limited as investors await clearer details of the action plan over the next six months. Constitutional uncertainty also remains a key risk factor that requires monitoring.

In the longer term, INVX expects transparency reforms and stronger anti-corruption measures to help restore foreign investor confidence and attract capital inflows back to the Thai market.

Natwarin Tripobsakul, senior strategist at INVX, identified several sectors likely to benefit from the initiative: power producers, industrial estates, telecom, tourism, healthcare, automotive and banking.

Power companies are expected to benefit from rising domestic electricity demand and direct power sales to industrial customers, particularly from data centre projects.

Industrial estate operators could gain from stronger demand for land and utilities linked to data centres, both inside and outside the EEC.

Telecom operators may benefit from higher enterprise demand for network connectivity, while tourism-related firms are expected to benefit from domestic tourism stimulus measures and secondary city development.

Healthcare firms could gain from policies supporting domestic medical supply production and medical tourism growth, while automotive suppliers may benefit from safeguard measures and local content requirements aimed at preserving Thailand's manufacturing base. Corporate lending demand could spike based on FDI inflows and supply-chain relocation to Thailand, noted the brokerage.

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