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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Browns Alchemy

Data Dump: How are the Browns doing after the Seahawks loss?

The midway point between games is a great time to take a step back from the disappointing loss against the Seattle Seahawks by the Cleveland Browns and examine the rest of the league. Football is a week-to-week sport and in that flow, we can forget that the sport lasts for nearly half a year. It’s important to take a 30,000-foot view of the league to better assess the landscape.

In Data Dump we aim to give you the weekly breakdown of where the Browns stand across the entire NFL among multiple categories. The Browns are standing pat at four wins after losing to the Seahawks 20-24. The loss showed that the Browns offense has steadily improved since losing star running back Nick Chubb and quarterback Deshaun Watson. The Browns are slowly regaining their offensive identity without their franchise players. The offense is still turning the ball over at an alarming rate. Under Watson’s leadership, the Browns should eliminate most of the turnovers.

The defense is the biggest victim of the turnovers. They’re constantly forced to defend shorter fields than other teams. While the Browns’ defense has done a good job limiting offenses, they are not invincible. They cannot continue defending 50 yards at a time. The season-long stats show how field positioning is dragging a historically great Browns’ defense into a top-three defense.

A Brief Look at the Seahawks Game

Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Looking back at the Seahawks game, the two most notable things are that the Browns’ offense hasn’t had a better showing since the Titans game. Meanwhile, the defense has never played worse. The Browns’ defense needs to limit explosive plays that have gashed them over the past two weeks.

Browns move up to tier 4

Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

As the tier bands have widened into the season the Browns have moved from tier five to tier four since last week.

QB Efficiency by Down

Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

P.J. Walker has slightly improved his EPA in the early downs, but he’s unable to be productive in situations where the defenses are expecting passes. The Browns desperately need Deshaun Watson back.

Offensive and Defensive Series Results

(Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

The series conversion rate is a good metric to identify how drives are going for teams. The Cleveland Browns’ defense is holding their opponents to a record-low rate of first downs. Meanwhile, the Browns’ offense is in the bottom five of the league.

4th Down Aggressiveness

(Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

The Browns have been rather aggressive in their fourth-down decision-making despite the backup quarterbacks.

How is pass protection doing?

Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

I love this graph to measure linemen’s play in all phases of the game. The metric combines PFF’s subjective grades with the GPS data from ESPN. The Browns’ defensive line is near the top in both run and pass situations. The offensive line is steadily improving in their rankings after starting the season off slowly.

Browns offensive line is top 10

Mandatory Credit: Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

The Browns’ offensive line ranked in the top 10 when it comes to giving up pressures in expected passing situations. The Browns are averaging almost 2.5 seconds to pressure. Watson should take advantage of the Browns’ pass-blocking when he returns.

Browns move back in playoff predictions

(Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports)

The Browns have stumbled in the Sumer Sports’ playoff model after falling short to the Seattle Seahawks. The team still remains in third place amongst the AFC North teams. But a win by the Bengals over the 49ers helped them leapfrog the Browns in the rankings.

 

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