The National Hurricane Service has issued a stark warning about the upcoming hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean, predicting it could be one of the most severe in history. The agency's preseason forecast is the most active ever, indicating a higher likelihood of stronger storms than usual.
Meteorologists are bracing for a very active year, with hurricane season set to begin on June 1st. Factors contributing to the forecast include unusually warm ocean waters and the absence of El Nino conditions. The agency's latest projections suggest there could be between 17 to 25 named storms, 8 to 13 hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher).
The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) forecast, a measure of the total wind energy generated by storms over a season, is expected to be 150 to 245% above normal levels. This indicates a significant potential for intense storm activity in the coming months.
The warm ocean temperatures, coupled with the weakening of the jet stream due to La Nina conditions, are creating favorable conditions for storm development. The increased moisture in the atmosphere has already led to above-average rainfall in many regions, saturating the ground and raising concerns about flash flooding.
Experts point to climate change as a key factor driving the heightened hurricane activity. The warming of the oceans due to climate change provides the energy needed to fuel powerful storms, contributing to the elevated risk of extreme weather events.
As the 2024 hurricane season approaches, residents in hurricane-prone areas are urged to stay informed and prepared for potential threats. With conditions reminiscent of the devastating 2005 season, vigilance and readiness will be crucial in mitigating the impact of severe weather.
Stay tuned for further updates and advisories from the National Hurricane Service as the season progresses.
