A leading data analyst has given his prediction on who will win the Premier League.
Nate Silver was named one of the world's most 100 influential people thanks to calling the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 US elections.
Yet he actually has a background in sports data, and his website, Five Thirty Eight , has created a data model to predict the outcome of the Premier League.
In what would be an exciting finish, they have predicted Manchester City to win the title on goal difference ahead of Liverpool, with both sides finishing on 95 points.
City have been given a 51 per cent probability of winning the title, and the Reds have a 49 per cent chance.
Spurs are predicted to finish third on 76 points, and have a 79 per cent chance of finishing in the top four.
After Arsenal's victory over Watford, they are predicted to finish level on points with Spurs - and two points ahead of fifth-placed Chelsea.
Arsenal have a 70 per cent chance of reaching the top four, compared to Chelsea's 33 per cent chance.
Manchester Untied are predicted to finish two points behind them in sixth, and have been given a 21 per cent chance of a top-four finish.
