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The Guardian - UK

Peter Bradshaw

Oscars predictions: Peter Bradshaw picks 2016's winners, losers and also-rans

Academy Awards — Who will take home one of these awards on Sunday? Photograph: Christopher Polk/Getty Images

Best picture

Will win: The Revenant

Should win: The Revenant

Shoulda been a contender: Carol

Best director

Will win: Alejandro González Iñárritu

Should win: Alejandro González Iñárritu

Shoulda been a contender: Todd Haynes

Alejandro González Iñárritu — Hotly tipped: Alejandro González Iñárritu. Photograph: Jordan Strauss/Invision/AP

Best actor

Will win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant

Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant

Shoulda been a contender: Tom Courtenay for 45 Years

Best actress

Will win: Brie Larson for Room

Should win: Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn

Shoulda been a contender: Karidja Touré for Girlhood

Best supporting actor

Will win: Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies

Should win: Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies

Shoulda been a contender: Adam Driver for Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Mark Rylance and Tom Hanks in Bridge of Spies — Mark Rylance and Tom Hanks in Bridge of Spies. Photograph: Courtesy Ev/Rex/Shutterstock

Best supporting actress

Will win: Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs

Should win: Rooney Mara for Carol

Shoulda been a contender: Kitana Kiki Rodriguez for Tangerine

Best original screenplay

Will win: Matt Charman, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen for Bridge of Spies

Should win: Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley and Ronnie del Carmen for Inside Out

Shoulda been a contender: Noah Baumbach and Greta Gerwig for Mistress America

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Adam McKay and Charles Randolph for The Big Short

Should win: Phyllis Nagy for Carol

Shoulda been a contender: Terence Davies for Sunset Song

Rooney Mara in Carol — Rooney Mara in Carol. Photograph: Moviestore/Rex Shutterstock

Best foreign language film

Will win: Son of Saul

Should win: Son of Saul

Shoulda been a contender: Taxi Tehran

Best animation

Will win: Inside Out

Should win: Inside Out

Shoulda been a contender: The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge out of Water

Best documentary

Will win: Amy

Should win: Amy

Shoulda been a contender: What Our Fathers Did: a Nazi Legacy

Best music (score)

Will win: Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight

Should win: Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight

Shoulda been a contender: Adam Cork for London Road

• This article was amended on 25 February. The original said that Song of the Sea should have been an animation contender. In fact it was nominated last year. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge out of Water is now Peter Bradshaw’s pick in this sub-category.

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