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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Tom Watling

Why Zelensky believes Russia is planning a major new offensive, not a peace proposal

  • Russia's foreign ministry says it is drafting a peace proposal for Ukraine, but Kyiv believes Moscow is planning a major offensive.
  • Volodymyr Zelensky claims Ukraine has obtained intelligence and open-source data indicating that Putin does not intend to end the war and is preparing new offensives.
  • Analysts report increased Russian attacks in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, with the fastest rate of advance this year.
  • Analysts say Russia aims for decisive operational success this summer to influence peace negotiations, focusing on capturing territory in the Donbas region.
  • Ukraine faces challenges, including disrupted supply lines, recruitment issues, and troop fatigue, while Russia recruits approximately 30,000 soldiers per month, according to Western intelligence estimates.

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