Leeds United are heading back to the Premier League.
That is according to Five Thirty Eight, the brainchild of world famous statistician Nate Silver.
Silver was named one of the 100 most influential people in the world after correctly predicting the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 US elections, but his background is actually in sports stats.
The 41-year-old rose to fame for developing a system for forecasting performances and career development of Major League Baseball stars before he launched the blog Five Thirty Eight in 2008, using it to correctly call the subsequent two US elections.
LIVE: The accounts are out, and Bielsa speaks ahead of Birmingham - READ
His website has now produced a Championship model and, after the latest round of games, they have predicted the latest table.
Leeds would seal a place back in the top-flight with a total of 89 points ahead of Sheffield United on 86.
The Blades, West Bromwich Albion, Bristol City and Aston Villa would make up the play-offs while Rotherham United would join Bolton Wanderers and Ipswich Town in relegation back to League One.
The final predicted table
Norwich City - 94 points
Leeds United - 89 points
Sheffield United - 86 points
West Brom - 81 points
Bristol City - 73 points
Aston Villa - 71 points
Derby County - 69 points
Middlesbrough - 69 points
Victor Orta sums up why Leeds United's recruitment model works so well with Marcelo Bielsa
Nottingham Forest - 66 points
Preston North End - 66 points
Sheffield Wednesday - 65 points
Swansea City - 63 points
Hull City - 63 points
Brentford - 62 points
Stoke City - 57 points
Blackburn Rovers - 56 points
Queens Park Rangers - 52 points
Birmingham City - 51 points
The Brave, The Brain, The Example: Salim Lamrani's brilliant Leeds United nicknames listed
Millwall - 47 points
Wigan Athletic - 47 points
Reading - 46 points
Rotherham United - 43 points
Bolton Wanderers - 39 points
Ipswich Town - 30 points
How it works
According to GazetteLive, Silver’s sports modelling crunches a torrent of numbers to produce a unique ‘soccer performance index’ for each club.
That is derived from historical data on past performance, individual player match-by-match ratings based on Opta scores, attacking and defending weighting and a complex variety of other factors including the vogue measure of ‘expected goals.’
The model also takes account of types of goals scored and conceded and tries to quantify ‘luck’, the discrepancy between data showing the team is playing well, but a result going against them. That SPI changes with every result.
Now you’ve seen what the analysts are predicting, you can try your hand at our new Footie5 game with the Pools!
Next round of Footie 5 fixtures on April 6: Bournemouth vs Burnley, Huddersfield Town vs Leicester, Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace, Birmingham vs Leeds United, Preston vs Sheffield United.
