Kirk Herbstreit believes No. 6 Oregon will suffer its second loss of the season on Saturday at Iowa.
“Oregon loses Saturday,” Herbstreit whispered during an appearance Thursday on The Pat McAfee Show.
The Ducks (6–1) have been on a roll this season, clobbering four cupcake matchups to start the year before defeating then-No. 3 ranked Penn State 30–24 in double overtime on Sept. 27, a win that looks far less impressive now that the Nittany Lions are 3–4 and without fired coach James Franklin.
The one blemish on Oregon’s schedule is the 30–20 loss to No. 2 Indiana back in early October. Herbstreit, however, believes the Ducks will fall again this weekend in a 3:30 p.m. ET matchup in Iowa City. And it doesn’t have much to do with Oregon themselves.
“I’m telling you, we all love Dan Lanning, we all love the Ducks and their potential. But there’s something about certain teams at Iowa when you go to November,” Herbstreit said. “... If it were a night game, it would be a given it would be a loss. At 3:30 p.m., it’s going to get dark in the second half. Iowa is going to be typical Iowa. It’s going to be ugly.”
Herbstreit then went on to predict exactly how the game would unfold: Iowa would slow down the Ducks’ offense and hang around in a 15–13 game. And then in the final minute, the Hawkeyes would drive down the field and kick a game-winning field goal for a 16–15 win.
We’ve seen this movie before.
"Oregon loses Saturday."@KirkHerbstreit on @PatMcAfeeShow show. pic.twitter.com/I0MUJgRKnf
— Justin Hopkins 🦆🏈 (@JHopkinsSD) November 6, 2025
Iowa, 6–2, has yet to beat a ranked opponent this season, with losses to Iowa State and Indiana staining its résumé. The Hawkeyes will have a chance to do so this weekend against the Ducks at Kinnick Stadium.
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This article was originally published on www.si.com as Why Kirk Herbstreit Boldly Predicts Oregon Will Lose to Iowa in Week 11.
