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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Shreya Biswas

Why did Nvidia’s strong earnings fail to spark NVDA stock rally? Here's what investors are worried about

NVDA stock analysisafter NVIDIA earnings: NVIDIA once again delivered massive earnings growth, but the market reaction showed that investors may now be focusing less on the numbers themselves and more on whether the company can sustain its extraordinary momentum.

NVDA Stock Slips After Strong NVIDIA Earnings Report

Following its fiscal first-quarter earnings report, NVIDIA shares (NVDA stock) slipped more than 1.5% on Thursday despite the company reporting another quarter of explosive growth. However, over the past three months alone, the stock had climbed 19%.

NVIDIA generated $81.6 billion in April-quarter revenue, up 85% from a year earlier and ahead of analyst expectations of $78.9 billion, as per a report. The company also forecast even faster growth in the current quarter, guiding for 95% revenue growth.

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Why Investors Are Questioning NVIDIA’s Future Growth Momentum

Still, with NVIDIA now carrying a market valuation above $5 trillion and after a strong rally in recent weeks, some investors appeared hesitant to push the stock significantly higher immediately after earnings.

David Wagner, head of Equity and portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors, said NVIDIA continues to “obliterate expectations,” especially in its Data Center business, but added that “Investors are likely to question whether what is already priced into the market is sustainable,” as quoted by Barron’s.

A growing focus for investors is how NVIDIA maintains its dominance as artificial intelligence hardware evolves. The company built its leadership around graphics-processing units, or GPUs, which became central to training AI models. However, the AI market is increasingly expanding toward CPUs and custom chips designed for different workloads.

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Jensen Huang’s Big Bet on NVIDIA’s Expanding CPU Business

During the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang said NVIDIA’s CPU business alone is expected to generate $20 billion this year, potentially making the company the world’s largest server CPU seller.

HSBC analyst Frank Lee said the market is likely to pay closer attention to NVIDIA’s growing server CPU momentum and its expansion beyond cloud service providers, as per the Barron’s report.

Concerns About NVIDIA Margins, Competition, and AI Spending

Investors also continue monitoring profitability. Rising memory component costs remain a challenge across the hardware industry, though UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri noted NVIDIA appears confident in maintaining margins through supply agreements, as per the Barron’s report.

Arcuri said that, “The debate…revolves around market share/competitive position and the sustainability of margins,” adding, “We continue to see the most likely path as a steady grind higher that compounds EPS [earnings per share] growth, but at a low multiple,” as quoted by Barron’s. He raised his target price on the stock to $280 while maintaining a Buy rating.

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What NVIDIA’s $80 Billion Buyback Means for Investors

Another major development from the earnings report was NVIDIA’s stronger focus on shareholder returns. The company announced a stock buyback program worth up to $80 billion and raised its quarterly dividend from one cent to 25 cents per share.

Why Analysts Still Remain Bullish on NVIDIA Stock

Some investors may interpret those moves as a sign that NVIDIA has fewer opportunities to reinvest internally. However, William Blair analyst Sebastien Naji argued that NVIDIA’s strong cash flow allows it to continue investing heavily while also increasing returns to shareholders, as per the Barron’s report. He also noted that the higher dividend could make the stock more attractive to income-focused investment funds.

FAQs

Why did NVIDIA stock fall after earnings?

NVIDIA stock slipped despite strong earnings because some investors questioned whether its rapid growth can continue at the same pace.

How much revenue did NVIDIA report?

NVIDIA reported $81.6 billion in April-quarter revenue.

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