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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Politics
Markos Moulitsas

Who polled best?

We were bombarded with polls during the final weeks of the election. So, which ones got it right, and which ones blew it?

YouGov's final poll, May 5: Labour: 37 Conservative: 32 Lib Dem: 24 Other: 7

Populus final poll, May 5: Labour: 38 Conservative: 32 Lib Dem: 21 Other: 9

NOP final poll, May 5: Labour: 36 Conservative: 33 Lib Dem: 23 Other: 9

Mori final poll, May 5: Labour: 38 Conservative: 32 Lib Dem: 22 Other: 8

Communicate final poll, May 5: Labour: 39 Conservative: 31 Lib Dem: 23 Other: 6

FINAL RESULTS: Labour: 36.2 Conservative: 33.2 Lib Dem: 22.6 Other: 7

The NOP poll was the most accurate, but none of the big polls got it too wrong. Good performance all round.

The biggest loser was the BBC's Seat Calculator, which given the vote tally at the moment, predicted 375 Labour, 187 Conservative, 58 Lib Dem and 26 other.

The results, as of this writing, are 355 Labour, 197 Conservative and 62 Lib Dem.

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