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Where homes are losing value most

Data: Zillow; Map: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

Over half (53%) of U.S. homes lost value in the past year, according to Zillow.

Why it matters: That's the most since 2012 — but the vast majority of homeowners still "have plenty to feel good about," the real estate site reports.


State of play: Many homeowners bought before prices surged in the early 2020s. As of October, the median home value had jumped roughly 67% since the property was last sold.

  • Just 4% lost value in that time, around 8.5 years for the typical homeowner.
  • Losses between sales are up slightly from a year ago (2%) but lower than pre-pandemic levels (11%).

The big picture: It's a homebuyer's market right now, if you can afford it. Persistently high mortgage rates and prices have sidelined many.

  • Nationwide, home sellers outnumber buyers by a record 37%, Redfin estimates.

The West and South, where there are more available homes and greater climate risks, saw the most widespread losses over the past year.

  • Most major metros in those regions saw at least half of homes lose value, led by Denver (91%), Austin, Texas (89%) Sacramento, California (88%), Phoenix (87%) and Dallas (87%), Zillow found.
  • Meanwhile, only three major metros in the Northeast and Midwest saw most homes lose value: Minneapolis (55%), Des Moines, Iowa (54%) and Scranton, Pennsylvania (52%).

Reality check: There's a difference between taking a loss and being "underwater," or owing more money to your lender than the house is worth.

  • Far fewer homes are underwater today compared to 2019, Zillow chief economist Mischa Fisher says.

The bottom line: "While fluctuations in home values can distress watchful owners, the vast majority are sitting on large equity gains that they can take advantage of when they sell," Fisher tells Axios.

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