The over/under win totals are out with the NFL Draft concluding. You can shop for the price you like to get the number you want to beat. Here are totals projected for by Betonline.ag.
Arizona Cardinals 7
The over/under on the Cardinals for 2020 was 6.5 in the opening line after the Super Bowl. Vegas has moved it up a half-tick after a draft that opened with Isaiah Simmons from Clemson being chosen by Arizona. This could be a major challenge hurdle to clear as the Cardinals face six games in the NFC West against tough foes before they get a look at the rest of their schedule. They were 3-13 and 5-10-1 in the last two seasons.
Atlanta Falcons 7.5
Dan Quinn needs to hit the over here if he wants to remain coach in Atlanta. And it won’t be easy with four games against Tom Brady and Drew Brees. The Falcons are coming off back-to-back 7-9 seasons. Their projection dropped a half-game. It opened at 8 in February.
Baltimore Ravens 11.5
What do you do for an encore after a 14-2 season? The original number was 11. So, the free-agent moves and draft by John Harbaugh and the front office have Vegas thinking the Ravens were too low at 11 and bumped up a half-game. That still is a pretty big window off a great 2019 regular season.
Buffalo Bills 9
The Bills have ping-ponged over the last four seasons: 7-9, 9-7, 6-10, 10-6. In horse-racing parlance, you would expect a bounce and off-season. It doesn’t seem possible with New England coming back to the pack and the Jets and Dolphins still treading water. The original number was 8.5. With the exit of Tom Brady from the Pats, the addition of Stefon Diggs to the WR corps, good things are in the forecast.
Carolina Panthers 5.5
Matt Rhule comes to the Panthers from Baylor and it looks like an unbearable season is anticipated. They get six games against Drew Brees, Tom Brady and, Matt Ryan. Daunting. Carolina’s win total has gone 11-7-5 in the last three seasons. The number dropped a full game from 6.5 in February.
Chicago Bears 8.5
The Bears remain at the 8.5 number they were post-Super Bowl. It will be interesting to see how this ticks if Nick Foles bumps Mitchell Trubisky at QB. Talk about inconsistent, the last four years have gone 3, 5, 12, and 8. That makes 2020 a difficult proposition at 8.5, which is a half-game up from after the Super Bowl.
Cincinnati Bengals 5.5
Welcome to the NFL, Joe Burrow. You get to step in for a team that went 2-14 in 2019. That was coming off seven- and six-win seasons, respectively. A rookie QB will likely get a rude welcome in the rugged AFC North. That is if he beats out Andy Dalton, who remains atop the QB throne in Cincinnati for now. Free agency and the draft did not move the number from post-Super Bowl.
Cleveland Browns 8.5
The Browns went 7-8-1 after going 1-31 and everyone had great expectations for Baker Mayfield & Co. They tanked, finishing 6-10 in 2019. Au revoir, Freddy Kitchens. The number was 8 after the Super Bowl and has risen a half-game. Bettors beware. This team is hard to predict.
Dallas Cowboys 9.5
Adding CeeDee Lamb to the wide receiver corps along with free-agent additions Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, Greg Zuerlein, Aldon Smith, and Dontari Poe and you have a team believing it is better than the 8-8 it was last season. The number was 9 after the season and all the moves have pushed it north by a half-tick.
Denver Broncos 7.5
This is interesting. The Broncos’ number has dropped from the 8 it was in February. They boosted the receiver corps for Drew Lock. Vic Fangio is a defensive guru. Would it be a shock if the Broncos found a way to turn some of their tough losses in 2019 into wins? No. The Broncos have gone 5-6-7 in the last three seasons. Sounds like 8 would be the number for 2020.
Detroit Lions 6.5
If Matt Patricia and the Lions go over this number, there is no guarantee it will save the coach’s job. A 7-9 season would mean 16 wins in three seasons. That does not equate to longevity in the NFL. The number remains flat from February.
Green Bay Packers 9.5
This number is flat, too. We have gone through three NFC North teams and the Packers’ number is tops by 1.5 with the Vikings to come alphabetically on this listicle. Guessing the idea of Jordan Love stepping in for Aaron Rodgers — joke — isn’t much of a factor.
Houston Texans 8.5
Gone is DeAndre Hopkins. David Johnson, oft-injured, and Brandin Cooks will try and add punch to the offense. The Texans have won 21 games in the past two seasons. So, why has the over/under dropped to 8.5. The in-division competition is not terrifying. This looks like a tempting over play.
Indianapolis Colts 9
Talk about a jump. The number was 7.5 in February. This has to be about Philip Rivers coming over the LA Chargers to put a jolt into the Colt offense. However, the veteran is coming off an off-year and it is hard to believe he is going to recharge in 2020. Frank Reich will be tested to get to this number.
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5
The Jaguars ditched Nick Foles. They are going with Gardner Minshew II and have a malcontent RB in Leonard Fournette … for now. The number was 6.5 in February and has dropped a full game. You think Doug Marrone will be around in 2021 if he doesn’t go way over?
Kansas City Chiefs 11.5
No change for the Super Bowl champs. They were 11.5 in February and remain there off a season that saw them win 12 games for the second straight season. Have to think barring a major Super Bowl hangover another dozen is well within the reach of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.
Las Vegas Raiders 7.5
The third year in Jon Gruden’s second tenure will be the first year in Las Vegas. The number has bumped from 7 to 7.5. Feels like a risky over play. The Raiders have posted 8 wins once since 2012.
Los Angeles Chargers 7.5
Whether it is Tyrod Taylor or Justin Herbert, the Chargers are looking for a bounce-back season after Philip Rivers’ dull 2019. Melvin Gordon has left for Denver so that means the onus is on Austin Ekeler in the running game and catching passes out of the backfield. The Bolts have been below this number every year except one since 2015. The number has not changed since the Super Bowl.
Los Angeles Rams 8.5
No movement from February though the Rams have done some shifting by getting rid of Todd Gurley and Brandin Cooks. The Rams were minus-4 from 2018 in 2019. The six games in the division will be challenging. A rebound would not be shocking.
Miami Dolphins 6
Brian Flores turned “Tanking for Tua” into going 5-4 in the last nine games of 2019 and still landing the Alabama QB. Feels like Miami would be best off letting Tua Tagovailoa continue to rehab and learn under Ryan Fitzpatrick in 2020. That would give Miami a shot to improve on 5-11 and not put the rookie at risk. The number has bumped a half-game.
Minnesota Vikings 9
The Vikings’ number drops a half-game from February. They reached double-digit wins in 2015, ’17 and ’19. The even years in between saw eight-victory seasons. Does that mean the team is heading toward a mediocre 2020?
New England Patriots: 9
A 1.5 game drop from February that goes along with Tom Brady heading to Tampa Bay. There has been a sea of change in Foxborough and this is going to be a year that tests Bill Belichick. The last time the Pats won less than nine games in a regular season was 2000, the first year of the Belichick era in New England.
New Orleans Saints 10
Sean Payton is taking it easy on the Saints this off-season. He obviously has learned from the scare COVID-19 put into him. Will the rest provide rewards come the 2020 season? His players will certainly appreciate their coach as Drew Brees looks to close his career on a high note. The number is flat from February and feels low for a team that has won 37 games over the last three seasons.
New York Giants 6.5
No movement for Big Blue from February. The number feels attainable until you recognize the Giants have won all of 12 games in the last three seasons .., total.
New York Jets 7
The Jets won seven games last year for the first season since 2015. Adam Gase is going to need to improve on that and go over. The division gives him more hope than Gang Green has had in many years. That is unless the Bills turn into the Patriots and Bill Belichick works a miracle in New England. The number is up a half-game since February.
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5
The Eagles’ over/under takes a half-game dip from after the Super Bowl. What was once double-digits is now 9.5. There still figures to be four wins in the division before the two games with Dallas. Carson Wentz needs to play 16 games. Doug Pederson can not want to have to start Jalen Hurts as a rookie.
Pittsburgh Steelers 9.5
A healthy Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers seem well within reach of 9.5 victories in 2020. If the veteran QB is injured again, all bets are off…except for the ones you risked in future land. The Steelers have bumped up from the 9 wins in February they were slotted at in over/under wagers.
San Francisco 49ers 10.5
Will the Niners continue to be a force after years as an also-ran? They made a gigantic jump in 2019, going from four wins to 13. They had won a total of 17 games in the four seasons prior to last. The number is flat from February.
Seattle Seahawks 9
This is so tempting to go all-in on Seattle. The Seahawks have won nine or more games every season since 2012. They have been in double-digits every year except 2017. Tempting to go over.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.5
What does Tom Brady — and Rob Gronkowski — mean to a team when it comes to the over/under? How about two games. The Bucs were listed at 7.5 in February and jump to 9.5. They have won nine games once since 2011. Let the bettor beware.
Tennessee Titans 8.5
The Titans have put their faith — and mega-bucks — into a Ryan Tannehill run. The number is flat and interesting because Tennessee has finished 9-7 in each of its last four seasons.
Washington Redskins 5.5
Washington has Ron Rivera. He has to figure out how to turn Dwayne Haskins into an NFL quarterback. Another Buckeye, Chase Young, should boost the defensive line. The 3-13 mark in 2019 was the first time Dan Snyder’s team had less than seven wins since 2014. The number is flat.
