Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Jacob Stolworthy

What the 2026 Golden Globes tell us about who will win Oscars

It’s two months until the Oscars – just a matter of time until we will find out if Timothée Chalamet’s hectic Marty Supreme campaign paid off. If Jessie Buckley’s award for Hamnet is to be or not to be. Or if we can finally call One Battle After Another writer-director Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar winner.

Each year, the Golden Globes are a brilliant Oscars litmus test, providing the best indicator for what will scoop Academy Awards a few months later.

This year’s annual ceremony, which took place on Sunday (11 January), awarded the best in film and TV, giving its top prizes to One Battle After Another, Chloé Zhao’s Hamnet and Netflix series Adolescence.

At the Globes, the categories for the Best Picture and Best Leading Actor and Actress awards are split into two categories: Drama and Comedy/Musical.

This typically means that one of the two victors in each category is the most likely contender to go on to win at this year’s Oscars, and can often drastically shake up the odds.

So what will win Best Picture? Which actor is a late-stage threat to Chalamet? Who is a dead cert to win Best Actress? We’ve taken a look at who won at the Globes to predict what this means for the forthcoming Academy Awards – and you can discover our findings below:

With the Golden Globes out of the way, Oscar voters have five days to vote for the next round of films that will make up this year’s nominations, which will be announced on 22 January.

In 2026, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has exceeded the 10,000 mark for the first time ever, adding 231 members since December 2024, to bring the total to 10,136.

Films expected to be recognised, alongside Zhao’s Hamnet, include Ryan Coogler’s Sinners, Josh Safdie’s Marty Supreme, Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein and Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value.

Conan O’Brien is returning to host the Oscars after a successful run in 2025. The 98th Academy Awards will take place in Hollywood on 15 March.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.