If you have bought a ticket for Pokémon Go Fest 2025: Global, you'll notice a little note on the paid ticket that says you have increased shiny odds, without the game giving you any indication of what those increased odds actually are.
And while you can find shiny Pokémon during Go Fest without paying for the ticket, you'll find significantly fewer Shiny Pokémon compared to those who paid for the privilege of finding more. Granted, finding a Shiny Pokémon is no guarantee.
So what exactly are these increased shiny odds Scopely seems keen to sell you on, without telling you the exact details?
What are the odds of finding a Shiny Pokémon at Go Fest 2025: Global?
There is no way of telling the exact shiny rate odds during the event, as Scopely doesn't publicly reveal them, which feels pretty off to sell odds you aren't even being told what they are. The community, however, has crafted a list over the years of estimated shiny odds, which helps us to get an idea for this upcoming event.
The estimated shiny odds for the Global event are estimated at 1 in 128, meaning for every 128 encounters, you have a single chance of finding a Shiny Pokémon. As for the raids, such as Zacian and Zamazenta, you have an estimated shiny odds rate of 1 in 20, with the other Pokémon like Pikachu and Falinks costumes being closer to one in 38.
They aren't great odds, as the likelihood of finding that many Pokémon over the weekend in the 16-hour total event is slim pickings, especially if you are after a handful of specific pocket monsters from the large pool. Some Pokémon will only spawn 2 hours each day, and the chances of finding it, let alone as a shiny, are increasingly difficult. So if you are going into Global Go Fest hoping to find only a couple of things, prepare for potential disappointment.
Every Pokémon apart from Klefki will be available as a Shiny during Global Go Fest, so even if you don't find the one Shiny Pokémon you are looking for, hopefully, something will come up instead. I'll be going after Morelull and Skiddo myself, so best of luck, trainers!
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