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Newcastle Herald
Newcastle Herald
National
Ian Kirkwood

Vaccine hopes bring optimism, but coronavirus numbers tell another story

PERHAPS it's information fatigue setting in after almost a year of shocking and tragic news about the coronavirus pandemic.

With vaccines promised soon, there appears to be a slight but perceptible lessening of community urgency when it comes to the national conversation about COVID-19.

Yes, the South Australian government reacted with speed to address the Parafield outbreak, and moved just as quickly to lift its hard lockdown when it was realised the threat was not as bad as it first believed.

While the public sector is still acting with necessary caution, private enterprise hit by the pandemic is raring at the bit to re-engage, banking on a vaccine as a cure-all allowing a rapid return to free movement.

COVID-19 SNAPSHOT:

If optimism - along with global stockmarkets - is rising, then so is COVID-19. Infections continue to hit new heights across the northern hemisphere as it heads into winter.

When Australia's great lockdown began in late March, global cases were totalling about 60,000 a day.

Eight months later, the rate is 10 times higher, hitting a new peak on Friday of 660,000.

Shockingly, almost a third of those cases - or 196,000 - came from the United States.

This time last month, the US had almost 9 million cases, but India, with 8 million, was on track to overtake it.

UNITED STATES: The world's richest nation is also the most devastated by COVID-19. Daily case numbers have risen from less than 50,000 a day in September, when they were half the daily rate of India's, to almost 200,000 a day last week, or four times India's present rate. Picture: Courtesy Johns Hopkins University

Since then, India's infection rates have fallen, and America's have accelerated.

The gap is now 3 million cases: the US with 12.2 million cases and India 9.1 million.

All up, coronavirus has a far greater grip on humanity than at any time this year, and as previous plateaus have proven temporary, there is no obvious reason to expect infection to slow of its own accord.

Without vaccines, there is literally no end in sight.

Although a virtual G20 meeting at the weekend pledged to "spare no effort" in distributing vaccines, German chancellor Angela Merkel said richer nations had already contracted for their vaccine stockpiles, and she feared poorer countries would be left behind.

This must not be allowed to happen. In a global order already shaken by COVID-19, the best form of self interest will be to see all countries treated equally.

If not, this present mood of optimism could prove short-lived.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison warned in March that COVID had the potential to send countries into "chaos".

An unfair distribution of vaccines could easily prove to be the catalyst.

ISSUE: 39,472.

DOWN FROM ITS PEAK: Daily COVID-19 cases in India have halved from their peak of about 100,000 a day in September to about 50,000 a day more recently. Picture: Courtesy Johns Hopkins University

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