Summary
Here’s what happened in US politics today, with just one week to go until the midterm elections. We’ll be back tomorrow with more.
- Donald Trump arrived at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh to pay his respects to the victims of the antisemitic shooting there this weekend.
- House speaker Paul Ryan, a Republican from Wisconsin, was asked about Donald Trump’s claim he would end birthright citizenship. “You obviously cannot do that,” Ryan said. “You cannot end birthright citizenship with an executive order.”
- An alleged scheme to pay off women to fabricate sexual assault allegations against special counsel Robert Mueller has been referred to the FBI for further investigation, according to multiple reports.
- Major corporations are dropping support for Iowa representative Steve King, an eight-term Republican whose lead in the midterms has shrunk to one percent.
- The daughter of a Missouri candidate for state representative is urging people to not vote for her father, Steve West. Emily West told the Kansas City Star: “I can’t imagine him being in any level of government.”
Trump arrived outside the Tree of Life synagogue just a few minutes ago according to the pool reporter, who writes:
A few dozen bystanders along the way filmed on phones and a small handful were Trump supporters with campaign signs. otherwise, the trip was unremarkable. Once in central Pittsburgh there were thick groups of pedestrians watching the motorcade pass but they gave little sign of interest one way or another. At a couple places however people have the thumbs down, or a middle finger up. “We didn’t invite you here,” one man holding a baby was heard shouting. “Trump ♥️ Nazis” said one sign.
Clearly in a somber mood for their visit to Pittsburgh, Pres and Mrs Trump step off Air Force One, followed by @IvankaTrump and Jared Kushner. Also on the trip are WH Chief of Staff John Kelly and @stevenmnuchin1. pic.twitter.com/H1lIdgTCuM
— Mark Knoller (@markknoller) October 30, 2018
Pres arrives at Tree of Life synagogue to pay respects. pic.twitter.com/1au827qz4W
— Mark Knoller (@markknoller) October 30, 2018
Updated
Iowa representative Steve King has lost support from big butter – also known as one of the nation’s leading agricultural and food businesses, Land O’Lakes.
The Des Moines Register reports that Land O’Lakes’ political action committee will stop donating to King’s campaign.
King also lost support from technology corporation Intel, which said last week it would stop donating to his campaign.
And earlier today, chair of the Republican National Congressional Committee, Steve Stivers of Ohio, said King’s “recent comments, actions, and retweets are completely inappropriate. We must stand up against white supremacy and hate in all forms, and I strongly condemn this behavior.”
King has long been criticized for his racist comments and it is unclear what has caused donors to drop off other than the approaching midterms.
Trump lands in Pittsburgh
Trump traveled to Pittsburgh on Air Force One from Washington DC with his daughter, Ivanka Trump; her husband, Jared Kushner; homeland security secretary, John Kelly; and treasury secretary, Steve Mnuchin.
The presidential motorcade has left the Pittsburgh airport but the destination is off-the-record for the moment, per the pool report.
Barbra Streisand spoke to the New York Times White House correspondent Maggie Haberman about her dislike for fellow New Yorker Donald Trump, and how it inspired her latest batch of songs.
Excerpts from the interview:
What inspired you to do this album after not being so overtly political in your art?
I would lie awake at night with Trump’s outrages running through my head, and I had to do another album for Columbia Records, so I thought, why not make an album about what’s on my mind? And that became the title of the first song. I am so grateful to have music in my life as a way to express myself.
What about offending Trump fans who like your music?
It doesn’t matter. I remember being onstage in Washington, D., and asking, “I’m just curious, how many Republicans are in the audience?” because everyone knows I’m a staunch Democrat, and a lot of people raised their hands. Art or music transcends politics, I think. I hope it does. I actually said that to George Bush.
Can you think of anything good Trump has done?
[Very long pause] I mean, this is a man who’s kind of, not kind of — he’s mean. I worry about the children. I worry about what is the image he’s projecting to them.
Khushbu Shah writes for the Guardian from Atlanta, Georgia where conversations are all about allegations of voter suppression in Georgia and the purging of voter lists across the state:
But it is a different picture among actual voters in the deep south state, where the issue does not seem to have registered. Nor is the conversation among Georgians even one, seemingly, much about their own Republican and Democratic gubernatorial candidates, Brian Kemp and Stacey Abrams. Rather, they seem to be proxies for a fierce national conversation that has been ongoing since 2016: the racial and social divisions percolating since Donald Trump’s election.
Across Atlanta, its suburbs and beyond into the countryside, the majority of Georgians who spoke with the Guardian said they were voting in reaction to national politics and Trump, not necessarily local issues or specific policies endorsed by candidates.
More on the alleged scheme to have a woman make false claims against special counsel Robert Mueller, who is investigating Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. Mueller reportedly asked the FBI to investigate the alleged scheme after several political reporters were contacted about doing a story on the allegations.
Around the same time reporters began to be contacted about the assault allegations, Jack Burkman, a Republican lobbyist and radio host, began promoting, via his Facebook page, that he is investigating sexual misconduct and alcohol-related allegations against Mueller. On Tuesday morning he tweeted that he would hold a press conference two days later to “reveal the first of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s sex assault victims.”
Over the past two years, Burkman has peddled a separate, evolving conspiracy theory that has blamed several different wild plots for the death of Democratic staffer Seth Rich, who was shot on a Washington street in 2016 during an apparent botched robbery.
Jacob gave us comment at first, but went quiet when we told him Surefire Intelligence's phone number redirected to a voicemail account registered to his mom.https://t.co/aVPzVDjGR4
— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) October 30, 2018
Celebrity round-up
The actor and writer Mindy Kaling raised a question on a lot of American’s minds this morning in response to Trump’s claim he would end birthright citizenship - a constitutional right:
Wait. I was born in the United States to two Indian professionals who later became proud citizens of this country. So... now I would be a citizen of India? My contributions to this country would be as a foreigner with no rights?
— Mindy Kaling (@mindykaling) October 30, 2018
And musician Taylor Swift posted on Instagram about voting early in Tennessee’s election:
The Hartford Courant reports on a campaign mailer sent to Connecticut voters, which Jewish groups have described as antisemitic:
The photo on the “VOTE NO ON MATT LESSER” flyer shows Lesser’s face bearing a greedy grin while clutching a few $100 bills in his hands. The image is recognizable as Lesser, but is clearly edited heavily. He said he has already heard from local Republicans who are also outraged about the Charamut team’s decision to mail the flyer.
“It’s imagery used to depict Jewish people going back hundreds of years,” he said. “Whether that was intentional or not I can’t say. That’s not what our community is about. On Sunday evening in Middletown we had a community gathering on the South Green in light of what happened in Pittsburgh, and it was the best of our community and it was really heartening. It’s demoralizing to see the campaign go in this direction.
New GOP mailer in a Connecticut state Senate race shows a Jewish candidate clutching a fistful of money. https://t.co/SlG90OA2S4 pic.twitter.com/vBE5ewKXeM
— Amanda Terkel (@aterkel) October 30, 2018
The US justice department is investigating the interior secretary, Ryan Zinke, according to reports by CNN and the Washington Post.
The Washington Post said:
Interior Deputy Inspector General Mary L. Kendall, who is currently serving as acting inspector general, is conducting at least three probes that involve Zinke. These include his involvement in a Montana land deal and the decision not to grant two tribes approval to operate a casino in Connecticut. The individuals, who spoke of the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly, did not specify which inquiry had been referred to the Justice Department.
A spokeswoman for the inspector’s office declined to comment on the matter Tuesday, saying, “ I cannot comment on any investigations.” The Justice Department declined to comment, and Interior did not immediately responded to a request for comment.
And Zinke told CNN he had not been contacted by the justice department: “They haven’t talked to me. It will be the same thing as all the other investigations. I follow all rules, procedures, regulations and most importantly the law. This is another politically driven investigation that has no merit.”
Updated
Daughter of Missouri candidate: don't vote for my dad
The daughter of a Missouri candidate for state representative is urging people to not vote for her father, Steve West.
Emily West told the Kansas City Star: “I can’t imagine him being in any level of government.”
Her father has made racist, homophobic, antisemitic and Islamophobic comments on his radio show.
“A lot of his views are just very out there,” she continued. “He’s made multiple comments that are racist and homophobic and how he doesn’t like the Jews.”
Ice-cream maker Ben & Jerry’s announced today a new flavor in honor of resisting the Trump administration: Pecan Resist.
The company said the chocolate ice-cream (mixed with white and dark fudge chunks, pecans, walnuts and fudge-covered almonds) celebrates activists.
Ben & Jerry is also giving $25,000 each to four partners: Color of Change, Honor the Earth, Women’s March and multimedia platform Neta.
In 2016, the company’s founders, Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield, were arrested while protesting for campaign finance reform in Washington DC.
Today we launch Pecan Resist! This flavor supports groups creating a more just and equitable nation for us all, and who are fighting President Trump’s regressive agenda. Learn more and take action here >> https://t.co/Bi8YE1FvOZ pic.twitter.com/Kr6CKBX1sc
— Ben & Jerry's (@benandjerrys) October 30, 2018
Updated
This fantastic piece by the Guardian’s US business editor, Dominic Rushe, on how millennials are trying to reverse Wisconsin becoming a lab for rightwing governance.
The governor Scott Walke seems to have been born hard right. At elementary school Walker started a “Jesus USA” club and at university he told a fellow student: “God told me I am chosen to cut taxes and stop killing babies.” His popularity is low these days and he’s trying to win people back with tweets about his everyman eating habits, but there’s no denying his effectiveness...
Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden and rising stars like Kamala Harris have all been out supporting Walker’s opponent – Tony Evers, the state’s superintendent of education.
A nerdy 66-year-old, Evers is the anti-Walker. He has spent his life in education and often sports a black T-shirt that says: “I [heart symbol] My Public School.” His policies are about spending more on schools and roads – undoing Walker’s legacy of cuts, cuts, cuts.
Updated
Paul Ryan on birthright citizenship: 'You obviously cannot do that'
House speaker Paul Ryan, a Republican from Wisconsin, was asked about the birthright citizenship proposal today on the radio with WVLK in Kentucky.
“You obviously cannot do that,” Ryan said. “You cannot end birthright citizenship with an executive order.”
Ryan also said Republicans did not support former president Barack Obama’s efforts to change immigration policy by executive order. He also said changing the constitution would be a lengthy process.
.@SpeakerRyan’s full response on the birthright citizenship Q to WVLK radio pic.twitter.com/kz8s8YmUbU
— Seung Min Kim (@seungminkim) October 30, 2018
Updated
National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) chairman Steve Stivers, an Ohio representative, has called on Steve King, representative of Iowa, to tone down his rhetoric.
Congressman Steve King’s recent comments, actions, and retweets are completely inappropriate. We must stand up against white supremacy and hate in all forms, and I strongly condemn this behavior.
— Steve Stivers (@RepSteveStivers) October 30, 2018
.@NRCC Chairman vowed on Sunday shows he would tone down rhetoric and call out hate speech. Here he condemns GOP colleague @SteveKingIA https://t.co/LKtS9vTiaz
— Scott Wong (@scottwongDC) October 30, 2018
Major repudiation by the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee against a Republican who suddenly finds himself in a difficult re-election https://t.co/8o7BKy72IG
— Manu Raju (@mkraju) October 30, 2018
Again, this Steve King deep dive is highly, highly recommended:
Attorneys are asking Trump’s rhetoric to be considered in an upcoming sentencing hearing for three men who attempted to bomb an apartment complex housing Somali immigrants, according to the Associated Press:
Attorneys for three Kansas militia members who conspired to bomb a mosque and apartment complex housing Somali immigrants have asked the court to take into account what they called president Donald Trump’s rhetoric encouraging violence at their sentencing next month.
One attorney also asked the judge to consider the fact that all of them read and shared on their Facebook feed Russian propaganda designed to sow discord in the US political system.
A federal jury convicted Patrick Stein, Gavin Wright and Curtis Allen of conspiracy to use a weapon of mass destruction against civil rights in April. Wright was also found guilty of lying to the FBI.
Donald Trump has just endorsed Kansas representative Kevin Yoder on Twitter.
Yoder is a Republican but politics reporters say he has been distancing himself from Trump and won’t necessarily benefit from the president’s endorsement.
LOL Yoder has been trying to separate himself from the President.
— Matt Fuller (@MEPFuller) October 30, 2018
He’s actually been arguing that the Democrat running against him would have more trouble standing up to Trump. https://t.co/GYDMrPkmcL
This is probably going to hurt Yoder more than help him in a race most Republican strategists already think is gone. #KS3 https://t.co/9htykmqOAK
— Jessica Taylor (@JessicaTaylor) October 30, 2018
Yoder’s Democratic opponent, Sharice Davids, is hoping to oust the Republican in a district that Hillary Clinton narrowly won in 2016.
Updated
Alleged scheme to to fabricate sexual assault allegations against Mueller referred to FBI
An alleged scheme to pay off women to fabricate sexual assault allegations against special counsel Robert Mueller has been referred to the FBI for further investigation, according to the Atlantic:
The special counsel’s attention to this scheme—which was brought to the office by a woman claiming she herself had been offered money to make up sexual harassment claims against Mueller—and its decision to release a rare statement about it to reporters indicates the seriousness with which the office is taking the purported scheme to discredit Mueller in the middle of an ongoing investigation.
The special counsel’s office confirmed that the scheme was brought to its attention by several journalists who were told about it by a woman alleging that she herself had been offered roughly $20,000 by a GOP activist named Jack Burkman “to make accusations of sexual misconduct and workplace harassment against Robert Mueller.” The woman told journalists that she had worked for Mueller as a paralegal at the Pillsbury, Madison, and Sutro law firm in 1974. The firm has not returned a request for comment about whether the woman actually worked there.
Scott Stedman, an investigative journalist, said he was contacted “by a woman who claimed to be a former associate of Mueller who said that she got a phone call from a man working on behalf of a GOP operative who was paying women to come forward to make up sexual assault allegations”.
Stedman said he worked on the story but “found the woman to be very unreliable”.
I wasn't going to report on this, but I think my fears are coming true. Based on information that I am privy to, I believe false accusations will be spread about Mueller in order to discredit him and possibly the journalists who are preparing this story. https://t.co/HQXTvPYirD
— Scott Stedman (@ScottMStedman) October 30, 2018
Updated
The Guardian’s Oliver Laughland reports from Standing Rock, North Carolina, where Republicans are accused of trying to suppress a potentially decisive bloc who tend to swing Democratic.
For some the new laws were a further reminder of the state’s racist past, in which it legally disenfranchised most Native voters. At the turn of the 20th century North Dakota’s constitution gave the right to vote only to “civilised persons of Indian descent” who had ended their ties to tribal government. Like the Jim Crow laws of the south, the discrimination was formally ended with the passing of the 1965 Voting Rights Act – a defining achievement of the civil rights movement.
But since a 2013 supreme court decision weakened key provisions of that law, the voting rights of minority groups like Native Americans have come under frequent attack.
Standing at the top of a hill that overlooked Fort Yates, as autumn leaves swirled in the wind, Chase Iron Eyes looked out over his childhood home.
“This history that we have here is not set up to honour us as human beings or honour our right to participate in democracy,” he said.
Summary
The live blog will be quiet for a bit while I grab lunch (back around 1.30 ET) so here’s a recap of where things stand this morning:
- Donald Trump suggested he will end a constitutional protection, birthright citizenship, through executive order. It is extremely difficult to undo a constitutional amendment.
- GOP representatives have attacked the claim. Ryan Costello, a Republican from Pennsylvania who is retiring, said the announcement is “political malpractice”.
- The ACLU said of the claim: “This is a transparent and blatantly unconstitutional attempt to sow division and fan the flames of anti-immigrant hatred in the days ahead of the midterms.”
- In a couple hours, Trump is scheduled to arrive in Pittsburgh to pay his respects to loved ones of victims in the antisemitic shooting there this weekend. He’s visiting despite requests from community leaders, including the mayor, to not come until after the funerals.
- A new poll has Iowa representative Steve King, a Republican, a single point ahead of his opponent.
- In Texas, Republican Ted Cruz’s lead in the senate race ahead of Democrat Beto O’Rourke has narrowed down to five points.
And if you’ve haven’t already, please do read this excellent dive into the Democratic party’s identity crisis by Washington DC-based politics reporter Lauren Gambino:
Can you still register to vote? Probably not, but check here just to be sure:
Oprah wants people to vote. So does NBC News’s Maria Shriver.
We are all equal in the voting booth. Make your voice heard Nov. 6!
— Oprah Winfrey (@Oprah) October 30, 2018
VOTE! VOTE! VOTE! pic.twitter.com/FQOnobU1AF
If you would like to know more about Oprah’s considerable influence on US elections – Donald Trump spoke about his interest in being president on her show in 1988 – check out this excellent podcast from 2016: Making Oprah.
The bonus episode Oprah Gets Political features Oprah explaining why she avoided having politicians on her show for more than 10 years.
The Guardian’s Tom McCarthy reports from Southfield, Michigan, on a midterm fight over gerrymandering in Michigan. Millions are pouring in to both sides of the issue from conservative and liberal billionaires.
The race “has recently been drenched by a a gush of outside money,” writes McCarthy:
Town halls, a volunteer-only signature drive and a referendum on an urgent public issue, with no party infrastructure: it might look like a perfect distillation of the democratic process. Except in Michigan and elsewhere in the US, that’s not how the process works any more.
Fahey began to hear that the group could not afford the fight it was picking.
“I obviously didn’t know how to talk to the media or anybody, and I kept getting these questions like, ‘You guys don’t have $3m, how do you think you’re going to be successful?’” Fahey recalled in a recent interview at a ribbon-cutting for a new VNP office in suburban Detroit. “And I was like, ‘We’ll figure it out.’ And I was just being honest.”
The unaccountable money in US politics that sloshes into local races and geysers out of Senate campaigns has long since flooded ballot initiatives, on issues from gun control to casinos, from legalized marijuana to charter schools. In 2016, outside groups raised and spent a total of nearly $1bn to help voters decide their local rules.
Retired US general: US government should 'think carefully' about troops at the border
Retired general Stanley McChrystal advised the US government “to think carefully” about sending the US military to the border in an interview on Fox Business Network’s Mornings with Maria.
The idea that American military is different from American border control or police, it is military power. And whether we intend to use it to build tents or use it in a military way, it congers up an image of that and if we think about using the US military to stop unarmed migrants in pickup trucks, that’s just the picture I think we want to think carefully about.
Well I think it’s a leadership moment. If we think of the mental picture that deploying US military forces is, it’s one of force. Now we’ve got about a month to think about this and I’d ask people to look back at history. 1932 veterans of the first world war marched to DC and set up a camp in DC asking for early payment of a bonus they’ve been awarded. In late July of that year, President Hoover ordered the US military to remove those bonus marchers and it was a picture that we’re not proud of today – American military pushing veterans violently out of Washington DC. Now that doesn’t have to happen. Tent cities and controlling our border, I think, is critical for the nation. But we really need to decide what we want to occur almost a month from now, how we want to be perceived by our own citizens and by the world.
Updated
In some states, midterms voting is simply for elected leaders. In others, it’s a chance for the population to also vote on state-specific issues through ballot measures known as propositions or amendments.
The best known example of this may be when California voters decided to make same-sex marriage illegal in the state through Proposition 8. The supreme court overturned that decision in 2013.
It’s a controversial process since it asks voters to have an expert knowledge of varied issues - this year Californians will vote on 12 propositions about things from daylight savings time to dialysis. And the language for the propositions can be complicated: the proposition 8 vote in 2008 was “yes” to vote against same-sex marriage and “no” to keep it as law.
Fighting for the title of most strange proposition in 2018 this year comes from Florida - where people will be asked to vote simultaneously for a ban on vaping and a ban on offshore drilling. There is widespread opposition to bundling these issues and local newspapers are advising people to vote no for that reason.
“We are philosophically opposed to asking voters to cast a single vote for multiple changes to the state constitution,” explained an editorial against the amendment in TCPalm and Treasure Coast Newspapers.
How deep is the divide in the Democratic party?
The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino writes from Washington DC on a central question for the Democrats: will progressive populism save the party? Lauren interviewed more than two dozen elected officials, candidates, strategists and activists, who described a party in the midst of extraordinary transformation.
On election day 2016, Democrats suffered one of the most stunning losses in modern presidential history...
Since then, the party’s center of gravity has shifted sharply away from Washington, toward an emboldened activist base, as its politics drift to the left. Across the country, a rising coalition of women, young people and minorities are crashing the gates of the Democratic party and demanding a seat at the table while liberal insurgents rattle the establishment in a forceful rejection of politics as usual. At the same time, a sprawling field of potential presidential candidates are rushing to plant their stakes in a shifting political landscape.
South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham, a Republican, said he will introduce legislation to end birthright citizenship.
I’ve always supported comprehensive immigration reform – and at the same time – the elimination of birthright citizenship.
— Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) October 30, 2018
To repeal a constitutional amendment, two-thirds of the House and Senate would have to vote in support of such a measure.
The National Constitution Center explains:
Changing the actual words of the Constitution does take an amendment, as does actually deleting, or repealing, an amendment. Including the first 10 amendments, the Bill of Rights, which were ratified in 1789, the Senate historian estimates that approximately 11,699 amendment changes have been proposed in Congress through 2016. Only one amendment, the 18thAmendment that established Prohibition, was later repealed by the states.
In simple odds, the chance of any constitutional amendment being repealed would be roughly the same as a person living to 80 years old being struck by lightning during their lifetime, according to National Weather Service data. And for the Second Amendment, which was rooted in the English Declaration of Rights a century before the Bill of Rights was ratified, the odds would likely be steeper.
In recent years, three other amendments have been subject of repeal talk: the 17th Amendment (the direct election of Senators), the 16th Amendment (the federal income tax), and the 22ndAmendment (presidential term limits). None of that talk came close to fruition.
Most Americans are confident their vote will be counted accurately in their community, but are less confident votes will be counted accurately across the US, according to new data from Pew Research Center published Monday.
Per the report, 82% of Americans are very or somewhat confident votes will be counted as voters intend in their community – but 72% are very or somewhat confident votes across the country will be counted as the voter intended.
To conduct this research, Pew surveyed 10,683 adults from 24 September to 7 October. It found that 91% of the American public thinks voting is important.
Updated
Florida gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum, the mayor of Tallahassee, compared Donald Trump to a pig on Twitter last night as the two traded insults Monday.
I heard @realDonaldTrump ran home to @FoxNews to lie about me. But as my grandmother told me — never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty, but the pig likes it. So ignore him and vote, Florida!
— Andrew Gillum (@AndrewGillum) October 30, 2018
Trump backs Ron DeSantis for Florida governor and on Monday night called Gillum a “stone-cold thief” during an interview on Fox News.
The two had been trading insults on Twitter as Gillum faces criticism for an ongoing FBI investigation into possible corruption at Tallahassee’s city hall.
Gillum has not been personally implicated in the investigation, but Republicans claim records released by the Florida Commission on Ethics show Gillum violated state law.
Updated
Poll: Ted Cruz narrowly ahead of Beto O'Rourke
In Texas, Republican Ted Cruz has a narrow lead in the senate race ahead of Democrat Beto O’Rourke. Cruz has a 51 to 46% lead over Rourke, according to a Quinnipiac University poll published yesterday.
In the last Quinnipiac poll on this race, O’Rourke was trailing by nine points.
“O’Rourke is within striking distance, but time is running out in a race that Democrats have hoped would deliver an upset victory that would be key to a Senate takeover,” Peter A Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a statement.
The Guardian’s Ed Pilkington spent some time with O’Rourke earlier this month:
Donald Trump’s decision to travel to Pittsburgh today has divided the city’s residents and leaders days after an antisemitic massacre took place there.
Two journalists, from NBC News and The Daily Beast/MSNBC, say Democrat and Republican leaders in the House and Senate declined to join Trump on his visit.
All four congressional leaders (@SpeakerRyan, @NancyPelosi, @senatemajldr & @SenSchumer) were invited by the WH to join Pres Trump on his trip to Pittsburgh, but they have all declined, multiple sources tell @AlexNBCNews and me.
— Frank Thorp V (@frankthorp) October 30, 2018
Three congressional sources confirm that McConnell, Ryan, Pelosi and Schumer were asked by the WH to join Trump today in Pittsburgh. They either declined or said scheduling conflicts prohibited it.
— Sam Stein (@samstein) October 30, 2018
The Guardian has not independently confirmed these reports.
A new Cook Political Report poll has Iowa representative Steve King, a Republican, a single point ahead of his opponent.
It’s a slim lead for the eight-term congressman.
The Guardian’s Tom McCarthy, originally from Iowa, wrote this exceptional dispatch exploring King’s hold on the district - despite his ties to the European far-right.
Dave Wasserman, of Cook Political Report, has a bit of analysis on King’s campaign.
New at @CookPolitical: #IA04 Rep. Steve King (R) moves from Likely R to Lean R. This is the first serious challenge he's faced in his R+11 CD since '12, except this time he's almost broke & not running a real campaign.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2018
Updated
The Chicago Tribune explains how people overseas are gambling on the midterms through the online betting site, Bovada.lv:
Looking at the national political landscape, Bovada bookies say there’s a 75% chance the Republicans maintain control of the Senate and a 70% chance the Democrats take the House. There’s a parlay option for bettors predicting both outcomes, Morrow said, that pays 66 cents in winnings on the dollar. The average wager Bovada receives for a midterm contest is about $250.
Don’t expect political gambling to make its way to America anytime soon, at least legally. Sports betting is only lawful in six states, though quite a few others – including Illinois – are discussing legislation to allow wagers on athletic contests.
Updated
In a critical senate race, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has a six-point lead over Republican Martha McSally in Arizona, according to a poll published this morning.
The new NBC News/Marist poll says Sinema holds the advantage with Latinos, Independents and women. McSally leads among whites and men.
“Arizona may play a pivotal role in determining the makeup of the next Senate,” Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted this survey, told NBC News. “Right now, the contest is very competitive.”
Updated
GOP reps attack Trump's birthright citizenship claim
Two Republican representatives are criticizing Trump’s desire to end birthright citizenship.
Costello, who represents Pennsylvania and is retiring, calls the announcement “political malpractice”.
We all know challenges of suburban R’s. The bloc of competitive R held districts less impacted by POTUS thus far are those w high # of immigrants. So now POTUS, out of nowhere, brings birthright citizenship up. Besides being basic tenet of America, it’s political malpractice.
— Ryan Costello (@RyanCostello) October 30, 2018
Amash, who represents Michigan, points out the legal issues with Trump’s plan.
A president cannot amend Constitution or laws via executive order. Concept of natural-born citizen in #14thAmendment derives from natural-born subject in Britain. Phrase “and subject to the jurisdiction thereof” excludes mainly foreign diplomats, who are not subject to U.S. laws.
— Justin Amash (@justinamash) October 30, 2018
Updated
A Republican congressman has called for the Democratic midterm election campaign to be “body-slammed”.
In a video posted online by Georgia Democrats, Georgia’s Republican congressman Jody Hice begins by telling an audience in Watkinsville that “the time has come” to stop Democrats, who are favored to regain control of the House of Representatives on 6 November.
Hice’s comments followed Donald Trump’s recent praise of an assault on the Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs, who was body-slammed to the floor and punched by the Republican congressman Greg Gianforte of Montana on the eve of his special election to Congress last year. After initially lying to the press and police about the attack, Gianforte pleaded guilty to assault and was sentenced to community service, anger management class and a fine.
Updated
Donald Trump’s agenda for today centers around his visit to Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, where an antisemitic massacre occurred on Saturday.
The first three funerals for those killed at the Tree of Life synagogue take place today, while residents and city leaders are divided on whether the president should visit.
Trump is scheduled to depart the White House at 2.30pm ET and arrive in Pittsburgh at 3.45pm ET. He is scheduled to return to Washington DC tonight.
Updated
This morning’s latest news is Donald Trump’s claim he is preparing an executive order to end birthright citizenship in the US, which would require repealing the 14th amendment of the US constitution: not a small task.
The president cannot unilaterally undo constitutional amendments.
It is the second dramatic immigration-related action Trump has raised in the past 24 hours.
Last night, Trump announced he would deploy 5,200 troops to the US border with Mexico – compared to 2,000 US troops fighting Islamic State in Syria.
Together, these dramatic actions appear to be an effort to fire up his base ahead of the midterms.
Omar Jadwat, director of the American Civil Liberty Union’s Immigrants’ Rights Project, said this of the birthright citizenship claim:
The president cannot erase the constitution with an executive order, and the 14th amendment’s citizenship guarantee is clear. This is a transparent and blatantly unconstitutional attempt to sow division and fan the flames of anti-immigrant hatred in the days ahead of the midterms.
Updated
Hello and welcome
Good morning and welcome to the Guardian US’s 2018 midterms live blog.
This time next week, Americans will head to their local polling place to cast ballots in the midterm elections. At stake is control of the two chambers of Congress, the House and the Senate. The party who wins will be able to check, or empower, Donald Trump’s agenda.
As the election draws ever closer, we’ll be blogging updates from our reporters on-the-ground, curated bits of the latest election analysis and news from the campaign trail.
Outside of Congress, there are more than 6,600 state jobs up for grabs and thousands of other local positions. Vying for all these local, state and federal seats are an unprecedented number of women, Latinos and educators.
To get you in the spirit of things, I recommend this superb article on how millennials are leading the fight for the soul of the US in Wisconsin, by Guardian US business editor, Dominic Rushe:
And if you want to start at square one, here’s our excellent guide to the midterms: