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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Business
James Moore

Unilever's Paul Poulman won't be championing better business for long if he can't keep numbers up

Exponents of the better sort of capitalism - if there is such a thing - breathed a sigh of relief when their knight in shining armour Paul Poulman jumped on his horse, waved his sword, and stopped the Kraft Foods dragon from eating Unilever. 

Trouble is he didn’t slay it, and he was only able to keep it bottled up in its cave by promising that he would steal away with some treasure for the people who pay for the upkeep of his sword, steed and armour. 

Cue some gaudy cost cutting targets, and promises of shiny things. 

The latest trading update shows that the shine could use a bit of polish. Connect 4 Growth, the strategy with a silly name for bringing home the pot of gold that Kraft had promised, isn’t showing much of it. 

Unilever has an impressive portfolio of brands that people will sometimes pay a bit extra for. It has put that to the test by forcing price rises through and kept revenues up by doing so. Volume growth has, however, been harder to find. This is the fifth consecutive quarter of zero, or near zero. That tells its own story. 

Unilever did have some excuses for the latest disappointing update. For example, with hurricanes in America and rotten weather in Europe, no-one was much interested in buying ice cream, notwithstanding the all season appeal of Ben & Jerry’s cookie dough and other concoctions. 

Businesses often like to blame the weather when they have a wobble, and sometimes investors take them at their word. But they’d better not do it too often. 

Reassuringly, the company didn’t alter its forecast of 3-5 per cent underlying sales growth for the year, although you can be pretty sure the final figure will be towards the bottom of that. The company is also doing well in emerging markets, and investing in securing further growth there. A review of the headquarters (investors would like it to stick with just the one) is proceeding. 

Mr Poulman’s horse won’t go short of feed just yet. 

Which is welcome. While unions aren’t exactly delighted over developments at the company, it still has a reputation for at least trying to do things the right way and demonstrating that businesses don’t always need to behave badly to succeed. 

As an example, ten days ago Mr Poulman was at the One Young World Summit in Bogota, pledging a commitment to champion the issue of disability in business as part of a global campaign to secure better recognition of the value of the one billion people living with one (I am among their number). 

That might sound fluffy. Cynics might see it as a PR stunt; an opportunity for Mr Poulman to feel good about himself before he gets back to the office and starts firing people. 

But Unilever gives the impression that it actually believes in this sort of thing, that there is real buy in. 

The problem is that to maintain a position as one of industry’s knights, Mr Poulman also has to keep the numbers up. He needs to hit that those end of year forecasts, otherwise he’ll be facing the next dragon that flies over the horizon in his business suit, and the result won’t be pretty. 

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