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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
World
Arpan Rai

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Putin’s war of attrition could go on until 2034, Ukrainian general warns

Ukraine’s war against Russia could last until 2034, the former Ukrainian commander-in-chief and current ambassador to the UK has warned.

Valerii Zaluzhnyi, who led Ukraine’s war effort until last year, said: "If we try to establish a ceasefire without building up our future defences, the war will drag on for many more years. It began in 2014 – God willing, it will end in 2034.

Zaluzhnyi said the conflict had descended into a war of attrition, saying: "Right now, the front line exists mainly for killing. In 2022, tanks rode in front, and personnel followed them... Now, tanks and soldiers have switched places."

His comments came as the Institute for the Study of War warned Russia’s recent military reforms "demonstrate Russia's longer-term preparation for a possible future conflict with Nato".

Ukraine and Russia exchanged fresh drone attacks on Thursday, shortly after the conclusion of the latest round of direct peace talks between Moscow and Kyiv. A nine-year-old was among seven people injured after Russia attacked the central region of Cherkasy, damaging more than a dozen residential apartment buildings.

Key Points

  • Putin's military reforms show his preparation for future war with Nato – ISW
  • War with Russia could go on until 2034, Ukraine's former top commander warns
  • US clears potential sale of air defence sustainment to Ukraine
  • Four killed and several injured in Russian strikes on Ukraine
  • Starmer and Zelensky agree on importance of Ukraine's anti-corruption agencies

War with Russia could go on until 2034, Ukraine's former top commander warns

08:55 , Arpan Rai

Ukraine’s war against Russia could last until 2034, the country’s former commander-in-chief and current ambassador to the UK warned.

Valerii Zaluzhnyi, who led Ukraine’s war effort until last year said: "If we try to establish a ceasefire without building up our future defences, the war will drag on for many more years. It began in 2014 — God willing, it will end in 2034.”

Mr Zaluzhnyi, speaking to Ukrainian news outlet LB.ua, said Kyiv entered a new and radically different phase of the war with Russia in 2024.

"Right now, the front line exists mainly for killing," Mr Zaluzhnyi said. "In 2022, tanks rode in front, and personnel followed them... Now, tanks and soldiers have switched places."

He also noted a shift in Russian forces and their battlefield tactics. Mr Zaluzhnyi said the Kremlin had abandoned direct assaults and now focussed on a war of attrition to target Ukrainian civilians and military.

Ukrainian ambassador to the UK Valeri Zaluzhnyi (Reuters)

Russia seen using drone made entirely of Chinese parts for first time

08:34 , Arpan Rai

Russia is using decoy drones completely made of Chinese parts to trick Ukraine’s air defences, officials in Ukraine's intelligence agency have said.

Ukrainian intelligence said it had recovered two of the new unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and dismantled them, reported The Telegraph.

The drone, named UAV CBTS.611000, is primarily used for reconnaissance and as a decoy, but it can also carry a warhead weighing up to 15kg.

Almost half of the parts of one of the drones were manufactured by a company based in China’s Guangdong province, called CUAV Technology, which claims that it is an “open source drone solution supplier”.

This is the first time Russia has been found to have deployed drones made only with Chinese components.

Zelensky says Ukraine has funds for three Patriot systems, looking to finance seven more

08:16 , Arpan Rai

Volodymyr Zelensky has said Ukraine has funds for three Patriot systems and is looking to finance another seven with the help of its partners.

He also said that Ukraine needs to cover a financing gap of $40bn (£29.6bn) next year in remarks released by his office.

Ukraine treasures the Patriot system, built by US defence company Raytheon, as its most valuable means to intercept ballistic and hypersonic missiles fired by Russia.

Last week, Nato's top military commander Alexus Grynkewich said preparations are underway to quickly transfer additional Patriot air defence systems to Ukraine.

Four killed and several injured in Russia's overnight strikes on Ukraine

08:09 , Arpan Rai

Russian forces on Thursday staged a series of mass drone attacks on Ukraine's Black Sea port of Odesa, killing one person, injuring at least four and causing several fires as well as damage in the historic centre, a Unesco world heritage site.

The famous Pryvoz market in Odesa was among the places hit, regional governor Oleh Kiper said. "It is not just a place of trade, it is the living heart of Odesa," he added.

Mr Kiper said the body of a man had been recovered from under rubble at a multi-storey apartment building.

Russia also attacked the central region of Cherkasy overnight, injuring seven people, including a nine-year-old, and damaging more than a dozen residential apartment buildings.

In Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city in the northeast, two people were killed and at least 33 were wounded when Russian glide bombs struck a residential neighbourhood, officials said.

Another person was killed in a drone attack in Sumy region on the northern border, where Russian troops have established a foothold in recent months.

A man stands at the broken windows of his house after a Russian attack in Kyiv (AP)

Russia forcing abducted children to fight war, says Zelensky's aide

08:01 , Arpan Rai

Russia is forcing children abducted from Ukraine to fight in the continuing war and bodies of teenagers have also been found from the battlefield, a top Ukrainian official said.

Around 35,000 children were abducted by Russian forces from the occupied regions in Ukraine’s east since 2014.

The children, when they turn 18, are now being conscripted into Russian battalions and sent to fight on the war frontline, The Times reported yesterday.

Andriy Yermak, the Ukrainian president’s chief of staff, told The Times that the Ukraine government had found hard evidence showing conscription of its children being forced to fight in the war.

On being asked if the bodies of teenagers were being found on the battlefield, Mr Yermak said: “We have found facts about this, yes.”

Head of the office of the president of Ukraine Andriy Yermak (L) attends a meeting of Ukraine's president Volodymyr Zelensky (R) with the Polish president at Belweder Palace in Warsaw (AFP via Getty Images)

Russia lost at least 80,000 troops in Kursk incursion, says Ukrainian general

07:27 , Arpan Rai

At least 80,000 Russian soldiers were killed or injured in Ukraine’s audacious Kursk incursion, the war-hit country’s commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said.

The Kursk occupation “ultimately killed or wounded at least 80,000 Russian troops,” Syrsky told the Washington Post on Wednesday. The Ukrainian military official declined to disclose Ukrainian casualties there but said they were significantly fewer than Russia’s.

Ukraine launched a counteroffensive in the Russian border region of Kursk in August last year, pushing several miles through its southeastern flank.

Putin's military reforms show his preparation for future war with Nato – ISW

06:59 , Arpan Rai

Russia’s recent military reforms show long-term preparations for a future conflict with Nato, a US-based think tank has said.

“ISW continues to assess that Russia's military reforms, including the restructuring of the Western Military District (WMD) into the Leningrad and Moscow military districts (LMD and MMD), demonstrate Russia's longer-term preparation for a possible future conflict with Nato,” the Institute for the Study of War said in its latest assessment.

It added: “Russia's ability to more quickly conduct large-scale call-ups will have significant implications for Nato and its ability to deter or even defend against future Russian aggression.”

Russian president Vladimir Putin listens to minister of justice of the Russian Federation Konstantin Chuychenko during their meeting at the Kremlin in Moscow (AP)

‘Putin wants us to panic’: How Russia has amped up its aerial strikes on Ukraine

06:47 , Arpan Rai

Russia’s aerial strikes on Ukraine have massively increased since June, with intense peaks. Figures show that the six most concentrated attacks have taken place in the past month.

Putin’s forces have launched 5,402 drones and missiles against Ukraine so far this month, with the pace of attacks surging sharply in recent weeks, according to figures from Ukraine’s air force.

The deadliest single day came on 9 July, when Moscow fired 741 drones and missiles. This was followed by other intense barrages, including 623 on 12 July and 550 on 4 July.

While the number of strikes dipped mid-month with just 35 reported on 18 July and 64 on 17 July, the pace has picked up again over the past week, with 330 weapons fired on Saturday and a further 450 on Sunday.

‘Putin wants us to panic’: How Russia has amped up its aerial strikes on Ukraine

Russia says 105 Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight

06:27 , Arpan Rai

Russia's air defence systems destroyed 105 Ukrainian drones overnight in nine regions and over the Sea of Azov, the Russian defence ministry said this morning.

Most of these were downed over bordering regions near Ukraine, including Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk, the defence ministry said on Telegram.

Kremlin says Russian forces working hard to establish 'buffer zones' along Ukraine border

06:17 , Arpan Rai

Russian forces are making every effort to establish buffer zones along the border with Ukraine, state news agency RIA quoted Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov as saying.

He was speaking a day after a brief third round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine where the two sides discussed further humanitarian exchanges but made no progress towards a ceasefire.

TASS news agency quoted Mr Peskov as saying that no breakthrough had been expected.

In May this year, Russian president Vladimir Putin announced his troops would aim to capture more Ukrainian territory along the border to help prevent Ukrainian incursions into Russia.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov ahead of talks at the Grand Kremlin Palace in Moscow (Reuters)

Zelensky says approved anti-corruption bill fulfils promise of justice

05:53 , Arpan Rai

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has defended his new anti-corruption bill which has sparked widespread protests in the country and said that the bill is well-balanced and fulfils promise of justice.

“Today, my bill is already in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine – fulfilling my promise – for justice, for law enforcement and anti-corruption agencies. Full-fledged guarantees of the independence of anti-corruption agencies. Real opportunities to verify, so that any Russian interference is kept out,” Mr Zelensky said in his nightly address.

“Everyone who has access to state secrets, and this includes not only the NABU and SAPO, but also the SBI, the National Police, must undergo lie detector tests. These must be regular checks,” he said.

He also acknowledged the protests and said: “And of course, it is important that Ukrainians are responding with such dignity to everything thatʼs happening. Ukraine is a country of people who donʼt look away.”

Watch: Inside Russia’s suicide drone factories as Putin ramps up weapon production to pound Ukraine

05:43 , Arpan Rai

Inside Russia’s suicide drone factories, production of Shahed drones is being rapidly increased as Vladimir Putin steps up efforts to intensify attacks on Ukraine with expanded weapon supplies.

A Russian state TV report, which aired on Sunday offered a rare look inside a major factory in Tatarstan that produces Russian versions of Iran’s Shahed-136 drones.

The propaganda broadcast showed matte black Geran-2 drones, highlighting their role in the conflict.

Hours after the report, Russia launched at least 57 drone and missile strikes on Ukraine, killing at least one person — despite Kremlin claims that Putin remains open to peace talks.

Inside Russia’s suicide drone factories as Putin ramps up attack on Ukraine

War with Russia could go on until 2034, Ukraine's former top commander warns

05:33 , Arpan Rai

Ukraine’s war against Russia could last until 2034, the country’s former commander-in-chief and current ambassador to the UK warned.

Valerii Zaluzhnyi, who led Ukraine’s war effort until last year said: "If we try to establish a ceasefire without building up our future defences, the war will drag on for many more years. It began in 2014 — God willing, it will end in 2034.”

Mr Zaluzhnyi, speaking to Ukrainian news outlet LB.ua, said Kyiv entered a new and radically different phase of the war with Russia in 2024.

"Right now, the front line exists mainly for killing," Mr Zaluzhnyi said. "In 2022, tanks rode in front, and personnel followed them... Now, tanks and soldiers have switched places."

He also noted a shift in Russian forces and their battlefield tactics. Mr Zaluzhnyi said the Kremlin had abandoned direct assaults and now focussed on a war of attrition to target Ukrainian civilians and military.

Ukrainian General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary of Ukraine to the UK and former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine looks around the exhibition in Bovington, Dorset (Getty Images)

What are the corruption issues behind Ukrainian protests against Zelensky?

05:16 , Arpan Rai

Thousands of people, including veterans, took to the streets of Kyiv on Tuesday evening to protest against Volodymyr Zelensky’s anti-corruption measures.

The demonstrations, which have reportedly spread to Lviv and Dnipro, are the first public protests against the Ukrainian president since the Russian invasion in February 2022.

Some of those outside Mr Zelensky’s presidential office claimed Ukraine was “turning into Russia”, with placards reading “Welcome to Russia”, according to reports.

So why are people protesting, and what are the anti-corruption measures? The Independent takes a closer look below.

Ukraine protests: Why are Ukrainians protesting against President Volodymyr Zelensky?

Starmer and Zelensky agree on importance of Ukraine's anti-corruption agencies

05:12 , Arpan Rai

British prime minister Keir Starmer and Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky spoke yesterday and agreed on the importance of the independence of anti-corruption agencies in the war-torn country, Downing Street said.

Mr Zelensky vowed on Wednesday to retain the independence of the anti-corruption agencies, bowing to pressure from the first wartime street protests and rare rebukes from European allies.

"The Prime Minister underlined the UK's unwavering support for Ukraine, and the leaders agreed on the importance of the role of independent anti-corruption institutions at the heart of Ukraine's democracy," a British readout of Sir Keir and Mr Zelensky's call said.

Prime minister Sir Keir Starmer with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky at 10 Downing Street (PA Wire)

Indian firm sent explosives to Russia despite warnings from the US

05:00 , Arpan Rai

An Indian company shipped $1.4m worth of an explosive compound with military uses to Russia in December, according to Indian customs data seen by Reuters, despite US threats to impose sanctions on any entity supporting Russia's Ukraine war effort.

One of the Russian companies listed as receiving the compound, known as HMX or octogen, is the explosives manufacturer Promsintez, which an official at Ukraine's SBU security service said has ties to the country's military.

The official said that Ukraine launched a drone attack in April against a Promsintez-owned factory. According to the Pentagon's Defense Technical Information Center and related defence research programmes, HMX is widely used in missile and torpedo warheads, rocket motors, exploding projectiles and plastic-bonded explosives for advanced military systems.

The US government has identified HMX as "critical for Russia's war effort" and has warned financial institutions against facilitating any sales of the substance to Moscow.

The HMX sale to Russian firms has not been previously reported.

The HMX shipments have not violated Indian government policy, reported Reuters. One Indian official with knowledge of the shipments said that the compound has some limited civilian applications, in addition to its better-known military uses.

India's foreign ministry said in a statement: "India has been carrying out exports of dual-use items taking into account its international obligations on non-proliferation, and based on its robust legal and regulatory framework that includes a holistic assessment of relevant criteria on such exports."

Concerns rise over how Ukraine's military might be affected by Starlink outage

04:49 , Arpan Rai

People online have shared their concerns for Ukraine’s armed forces as Starlink, a satellite telecommunications network, faces a global outage.

Starlink has become vital to Ukrainian forces fighting Russia in order to replace internet and communication services impacted by the war.

European officials expressed concern in March this year that Starlink might cut off services in Ukraine.

Read more over here:

Elon Musk’s Starlink satellites ‘mostly recovered’ after major outages

US State Dept clears potential sale of air defence sustainment to Ukraine

04:44 , Arpan Rai

The US State Department has potential approved military sales, including air defence sustainment, to Ukraine for $330m (£244.5m), the Pentagon said yesterday.

The package includes M109 self-propelled howitzer maintenance, repair and overhaul capability for $150m (£111m) and air defence sustainment for $180m (£133m), the Pentagon said in a statement.

The contractors included BAE Systems, Allison Transmission, Daimler Truck North America, Sierra Nevada Corporation, Radionix and Systems Electronic Export, according to the Pentagon.

Service members of the 13th Operative Purpose Brigade 'Khartiia' of the National Guard of Ukraine fire an M101 howitzer towards Russian troops, at a position in a front line in Kharkiv region (Reuters)

Four killed and several injured in Russia's overnight strikes on Ukraine

04:29 , Arpan Rai

Russian forces on Thursday staged a series of mass drone attacks on Ukraine's Black Sea port of Odesa, killing one person, injuring at least four and causing several fires as well as damage in the historic centre, a Unesco world heritage site.

The famous Pryvoz market in Odesa was among the places hit, regional governor Oleh Kiper said. "It is not just a place of trade, it is the living heart of Odesa," he added.

Mr Kiper said the body of a man had been recovered from under rubble at a multi-storey apartment building.

Russia also attacked the central region of Cherkasy overnight, injuring seven people, including a nine-year-old, and damaging more than a dozen residential apartment buildings.

In Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city in the northeast, two people were killed and at least 33 were wounded when Russian glide bombs struck a residential neighbourhood, officials said.

Another person was killed in a drone attack in Sumy region on the northern border, where Russian troops have established a foothold in recent months.

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