Tyson Fury Vs. Deontay Wilder III: Odds, Records, Prediction (Updated With Betting Results)
The vitriol between Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder seems to be intense. Perhaps they’re only faking just to fool the general public and to goose PPV buys, but both men really, really seem ready to get into the ring against each other for the third time. Here’s everything you need to know about Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder, including the odds, their records and a prediction on who will win.
The first time they fought in 2018, Fury outboxed Wilder for most of the fight, but Wilder knocked him down twice, including a mammoth shot in the 12th round that would have knocked out just about anybody else, to rescue a draw. The second time they faced off, about 20 months ago, Fury dominated Wilder and knocked him out in the seventh round.
Since then, Wilder has had a public meltdown, firing one of his longtime trainers and engaging in conspiracy theories about why he lost the second fight (his prefight costume was too heavy, his former trainer Mark Breland was in cahoots with other individuals at ringside, somebody spiked his water, etc.). Fury, meanwhile, had moved on to Anthony Joshua, but that fight had to be scuttled so Wilder could get his contracted third chance at Fury.
Wilder is hungry for redemption. Fury is hungry to finish off Wilder. The heavyweight championship is at stake on Saturday, and both fighters are so ready for each other that Top Rank promoter Bob Arum stopped the traditional press conference staredown so they couldn’t get too close to each other.
“Wilder is a weak person mentally and I’m going to knock him out on Saturday night,” Fury said. “I obliterated him in the rematch and I see much more of the same in the third fight.”
Countered Wilder: “It’s only made me better as a man and as a fighter to see certain things that happened in the second fight. It’s made me even hungrier than before. I needed everything that happened in that fight. It was really a blessing in disguise.”
We’ll see if that’s true on Saturday.
Until then, here’s more info on the Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder showdown that U.S. viewers can watch on ESPN+ or Fox PPV for $79.99 beginning at 9 p.m. ET.
Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder odds
Since this fight was announced, Fury has been about a 3/1 favorite, and as of this writing, that’s only narrowed slightly with Fury at -275 (bet $275 to win $100) and with Wilder at +225 (win $225 on a $100 wager). If you think Wilder is going to pull off the upset, I think his +275 to win by KO/TKO is a great value. Fury, meanwhile, is -105 to win by KO/TKO and +275 to win on the scorecards. I don’t mind if you take that bet of Fury to win by decision because, frankly, the judges should have given him the decision in their first fight.
Oddschecker had some interesting data earlier this week: 49.3% of bets had been placed on Fury, 44.7% had gone on Wilder, and 6% had liked a draw. When it comes to round betting, this is what the website had found:
- 10% of bets Wilder Round 1 KO
- 7% of bets Fury Round 4 KO
- 7% of bets Wilder Round 4 KO
- 6% of bets Fury Round 1 KO
If you were looking for a fun parlay for this weekend’s action of boxing (and this is only for entertainment purposes), I might take Fury vs. Wilder to not go 12 rounds at -300, Adam Kownacki to beat Robert Helenius at -250 and Julian “J Rock” Williams to stop Vladimir Hernandez at -120. Win all three of those bets, and you’d earn $242 on a $100 wager.
UPDATED: In what was an instant classic, Fury survived two knockdowns and knocked out Wilder in the 11th round to retain his heavyweight championship. If you had Fury winning by KO, you won $105 on a $100 bet. And if you had the fight not going the full 12 rounds, you made a little money, as well.
As for the parlay, well it was ugly, as Helenius beat Kownacki by disqualification and Williams suffered an upset vs. Hernandez. Not a great night of wagering, but Fury vs. Wilder III was still an amazing fight to watch.
Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder records
The only blemish on Tyson Fury’s 30-0-1 (21 KOs) record came during that first fight with Wilder. Since then, he survived a nasty cut to beat Otto Wallin in a closer-than-expected win, knocked out Tom Schwarz and stopped Wilder. But Fury, like Wilder, is on a 20-month layoff, his longest since stepping away for nearly three years after beat Wladimir Klitchko for the title.
Wilder’s devastating knockout power is evident by his 42-1-1 (41 KOs) record, but he’s still never beaten a top-notch heavyweight like Fury. Yes, Wilder knocked out Luis Ortiz twice, two impressive wins, but if Wilder wants to be remembered as an all-time great heavyweight, he’ll need to score the victory against his opponent on Saturday.
Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder prediction
Most boxers are predicting that Fury will win yet again, but I’m having a difficult time figuring out who to pick. My head says Fury. My heart says that Wilder could avenge his defeat by knocking out his conqueror. The only thing I think I’m somewhat confident in is that this fight won’t go the distance. OK, I’m going to go with Wilder by KO in the seventh. Fury is going to out-box him just about every second of the fight until Wilder lands his explosive right hand. This time, Fury won’t beat the count.