An Iranian cleric casts his ballot in the presidential election run-off. Photograph: Behrouz Mehri/AFP/Getty
After various polls got it so wrong in the first round of Iran's presidential election, you would be foolish to bet the farm on them correctly predicting today's run-off.
However, with analysts describing the contest as too close to call, we may be forgiven for sneaking a look at a poll cited by the Iran Scan blog.
And the poll by the Iran students polling agency (ISPA) makes grim reading for those fearing a victory for Tehran's ultra conservative mayor, Mahoud Ahmadinejad.
ISPA's poll predicts Mr Ahmadinejad will win with 45% of the vote, beating the relatively far more moderate cleric Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani, who it puts on 39.1% of the vote.
As he voted today, Mr Ahmadinejad, who has said Iran must reclaim the values of the 1979 Islamic revolution (rhetoric which terrifies moderates), did not mince his words. Agency reports quote him as looking confident and saying: "This is the beginning of a new movement."
Hossein Derakhshan, often described as the godfather of the Iranian blogosphere, where he is known as Hoder, today describes the "two different worlds" of Iran that the candidates (very roughly) represent.
Hoder writes:
Ahmadinejad represents the widening income as well as human capital gap between middle and lower-class Iranians. He represents frustrated people who have to work at least two jobs to make a basic living, let alone sending their children to universities. They seek help from a man who not only looks like early revolutionaries, but also promises a return to the early principles and methods of the revolution, in a bluntly old-fashion way.
Mr Behi, on the Adventures of Mr Behi, says one common conspiracy theory doing the rounds is that "the whole thing's a plot to make a big turn out for ... Rafsanjani". He acknowledges however that educated people are "truly horrified with the idea" of a new hardline president.
Mr Behi argues that Mr Ahmadinejad's campaign has been profiting from highlighting Mr Rafsanjani's "weak point" of "economic corruption and love for luxury".
[Rafsanjani's] ignorance towards the divergence in income of rich and poor in his presidency time [between 1989-97], made the room for the conservatives to hunt the lower-class Iranians with the warning that they will be still ignored under his rule.
For a slightly different perspective on Mr Rafsanjani's wealth, <a href=""
http://www.theguardian.com/iran/story/0,12858,1513410,00.html">consider Robert Tait's Guardian piece today where he visits the candidate's modest childhood home in Rafsanjan.
Turnout is expected to be high, with ISPA predicting it might hit 74%. Winsteed, on Iran Vote 2005, who has been watching the voting outside Iran, writes: "The turn-out is significantly higher than the first round. One can particularly notice the higher number of women who have come out to vote."
Finally, there is an interview in the LA Times with Hoder, outlining how he has helped shape the Iranian blogging scene and the attempts by authorities to stymie it.
The piece includes an anecdote about how on Hoder's recent trip to Tehran one reformist politician said he was surprised to see Hoder and joked that he would be arrested "either way" regardless of who won. Happily, he was allowed to leave safely.
Hoder's trip was funded by donations from his readers, who must be applauded for doing this. It's an obvious point but in places where bloggers are reporting in a vacuum where the robust indigenous independent mainstream media should be, they are vitally important and deserve support.
