The White House is taking some of the biggest steps yet to address the economic pain caused by its own tariff regime.
Why it matters: President Trump's recent moves suggest the American economy is not adjusting seamlessly to his abrupt trade policy shifts.
The big picture: The farm aid announced on Monday illustrates the sometimes circular nature of the Trump administration's handling of tariff-related issues.
- The White House says the payments for row crop farmers will be funded with revenue from the trade policies that caused much of the farmers' economic pain in the first place.
- "This money would not be possible without the tariffs," Trump said at a farmer roundtable.
- "Without it, we wouldn't be able to help you," he added. Trump noted that the White House needs the power to impose tariffs quickly, which the Supreme Court is expected to rule on soon.
Zoom in: China is slowly resuming purchases of U.S. soybeans after pausing buying earlier this year, a boycott that came as a retaliation to Trump's trade policy. The administration has argued that China effectively held American farmers hostage during trade talks.
- In addition to revenue drying up, production costs are soaring: "Elevated tariff rates on key inputs ... have become a significant cost factor in farm production economics," economists at the American Soybean Association wrote last week, describing a "precarious" financial situation.
Between the lines: The move to heal the financial damage to farm country, an important hub of Trump supporters, is the latest attempt to address the tariff fallout that has contributed to Americans' souring economic sentiment.
- Last month, the White House announced it would roll back tariffs on a slew of grocery items.
The intrigue: Even with Trump's tariffs in place, China said that it had reached an unprecedented milestone — a trade surplus of over $1 trillion so far this year.
- It signals China is having little trouble selling its goods globally, even as one major customer — the U.S. — pulls back.
- Chinese exports to the U.S. have fallen by roughly one-fifth this year in the wake of Trump's tariffs.
What to watch: Americans and employers continue to give the Trump economy low marks.
- The University of Michigan said its index measuring consumers' perception of current economic conditions reached the lowest level in the survey's 74-year history.
- The Institute for Supply Management said last week that manufacturers saw new orders drop for the third straight month in November, while respondents signaled that employment shrank at a quicker pace. A key stated goal of the tariffs was to revive the manufacturing sector.
- "We are starting to institute more permanent changes due to the tariff environment. This includes reduction of staff, new guidance to shareholders, and development of additional offshore manufacturing that would have otherwise been for U.S. export," one manufacturer said in the survey.
For the record: In a statement to Axios, White House spokesman Kush Desai said Trump's tariffs were "leveling the playing field for American farmers, workers and industries."
- "The Administration remains committed to a nimble, nuanced, and multi-faceted approach to reshoring manufacturing and addressing unfair foreign trade practices," Desai said.
The bottom line: Trump has staked a huge financial case in keeping the tariffs around.
- But those same tariffs are causing economic pain that the administration is now trying to address.
