- Popular betting site Kalshi currently places the odds of Donald Trump being impeached at 69 percent, the highest since the market's creation in November 2024.
- This figure has steadily increased from 33 percent after his election win to 59 percent a year after his inauguration.
- Another platform, Polymarket, shows 46 percent odds for Trump being formally charged by the House of Representatives.
- Trump has previously been impeached twice during his first term, in 2019 and 2021, but was acquitted by the Senate both times.
- Prediction markets face scrutiny, with concerns about insider trading leading to proposed legislation to ban betting on government actions and criminal charges filed against Kalshi in Arizona.
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