The chance for 2022 to see its second named tropical storm remains low this week as a system moves over Central America.
The National Hurricane Center gives a trough of low pressure located near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras only a 10% chance of forming in the next two days, and 20% in the next five, according to its 8 a.m. Thursday tropical outlook.
The system is mostly a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, but could develop further after moving back over water, NHC forecasters said.
“The system is forecast to move slowly northwestward and could emerge over the Gulf of Honduras where some development is possible by Friday,” according to the outlook. “Some development is also possible over the southern Bay of Campeche by early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, and southeastern Mexico through the weekend.”
Odds for the system diminished since Wednesday, which had previously had long-term formation chances up to 40%. It was first identified Sunday evening, and was eyed with potential to become the Atlantic hurricane season’s second tracked system.
Tropical Storm Alex formed earlier this month from the remnants of a Pacific hurricane. While it had yet to be officially named by the NHC, it dropped nearly a foot of water over parts of Florida.
The second named system of the season would become Tropical Storm Bonnie.
