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Football London
Football London
Sport
Josh Williams

Tottenham's unsung hero and the key player Jose Mourinho must protect

After years of steady and consistent performances, the past two years at Tottenham have been relatively turbulent in comparison.

A Champions League final was reached, Mauricio Pochettino's five-year tenure came to an end, Jose Mourinho was appointed and this season, Spurs finished sixth in the Premier League.

However, amongst the chaos, one player has performed strongly under the radar; he's contributed more to the results of his side than most of his teammates, but he's not talked about anywhere near as much as the more high-profile figures in the squad.

The player in question is Hugo Lloris.

He's been a solid performer for years since arriving from Lyon in 2012 and he's now club captain, but since the beginning of the 2018/19 campaign he's been remarkably impressive according to the numbers.

Expected Goals (xG) is a performance indicator which offers an insight into the likelihood of a shot being scored by considering aspects such as difficulty and location, and it tends to provide an accurate summary of whether a team deserved fewer or more goals based on their attempts.

The metric can also be applied to goalkeepers, with post-shot xG specifically focusing on shots that hit the target and taking into account the quality and trajectory of the shot, which is why it can be applied to shot-stopping.

Paulo Gazzaniga, for example, was expected to concede 25.2 goals in the Premier League this season and he actually shipped 25 (excluding own goals). That essentially means he saved shots to a very average standard. Not good, not bad, just normal.

The attempts he's faced from open-play are captured below.

Lloris, on the other hand, was expected to concede 27.3 goals yet he allowed only 20 to be scored; he overperformed his expected figures by 7.3 goals which was bettered by only Vicente Guaita and Martin Dúbravka.

Last season, he was even more impressive. He should have conceded around 41.3 goals according to post-shot xG, but he only allowed 30 to be scored, which equates to an overperformance of 11.3 goals.

Pictured below are the shots he's faced from open-play in England's top-flight since 2018.

That means Lloris has overperformed the average goalkeeper by roughly 18.6 goals over two seasons, which suggests he's saved shots to an above average level. If Spurs had conceded those 18.6 goals, it's likely that they would have considerably worse results to show for their performances.

Ultimately, although goalkeepers aren't typically recognised as match-winners, Lloris' contribution towards Spurs' ability to win games over the past two years has been as valuable as anyone else's.

As Mourinho looks to restore the standing of his team at the business end of the table, he'll hope that Lloris' outstanding form continues.

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