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Manchester Evening News
Manchester Evening News
National
Jennifer Williams

These are the seats that Labour could lose in Greater Manchester

Tonight’s exit poll is predicting that a string of previously safe Labour seats in Greater Manchester could be at risk from the Tories.

A BBC breakdown firmly forecasts that Bolton North East - held by Labour’s David Crausby since 1997, currently with a majority of under 4,000 - will go Conservative.

But there are also a string of other leave-leaning seats on its list that are deemed ‘too close to call’, but where the Tories are predicted to be favourites.

In Oldham East and Saddleworth, where Debbie Abrahams is defending a majority of around 8,000, the exit poll suggests the Tories have a 61pc chance of victory.

And in Heywood and Middleton - which Labour nearly lost to UKIP in a 2014 by-election - they make it a 75pc likelihood.

Jonathan Reynolds (Simon Pendrigh)

Jonathan Reynolds’ seat of Stalybridge and Hyde is deemed knife-edge too, with a 57pc chance of going blue, while Barbara Keeley's seat of Worsley and Eccles South is given a 61pc chance of going Tory.

The traditional Labour heartland of Leigh, Andy Burnham’s old seat, is given a neck-and-neck 50/50 chance of going red.

But in Bury North and Bury South, both deemed too close to predict, Labour have the edge, according to the prediction.

Meanwhile the Labour heartland of Ashton-under-Lyne, home to shadow education secretary Angela Rayner, is not down as a definite hold - only a ‘possible’.

Other safe seats are being forecast to solidly remain Labour, including Wigan and all five Manchester constituencies.

Neither of the two big targets for Labour in Greater Manchester - Bolton West and Altrincham and Sale West - are projected to switch hands, however.

In Altrincham incumbent Tory Sir Graham Brady is given more than a 99pc chance of holding on, while Chris Green is given a 97pc chance of keeping Bolton West.

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