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The Economic Times
The Economic Times

The waiting game: Why the UK’s stablecoin moment is now

The global stablecoin market has crossed $300 billion in market capitalisation. Yet over 99% of this value is denominated in US dollars. The UK’s presence in this rapidly-evolving financial architecture is almost negligible i.e., limited to a single sterling-backed stablecoin with a market cap barely exceeding $31 million.

This asymmetry is not just a market statistic but a strategic signal. As the House of Lords Financial Services Regulation Committee makes clear, the question is no longer whether stablecoins matter, but whether the UK will claim greater stakes in this evolution or not.

Understanding stablecoins

Stablecoins are digital representations of fiat currency, issued against fully-backed reserves typically cash or short-term government securities and operating on blockchain infrastructure. They are minted when funds are deposited and burned upon redemption. Crucially, they are not investment products. They are payment instruments.

This distinction matters because it frames the regulatory challenge. Their defining features are price stability, programmability, and 24/7 global transferability make them well-positioned to transform how value moves in a digital economy.

Three forces driving global adoption

The rise of stablecoins is not accidental. It is driven by structural inefficiencies in the current financial system and technological advances that offer credible alternatives.

1. Cross-border payments efficiency

Cross-border payments remain one of the most broken components of global finance. Transactions are routed through correspondent banking networks involving multiple intermediaries, resulting in high costs, delays, and opacity. Stablecoins address these inefficiencies directly. They enable near-instant settlement, operate continuously, and can reduce transaction costs by as much as 80%. In 2024 alone, cross-border stablecoin flows reached approximately $1.5 trillion , a figure that continues to grow rapidly.

For the UK, this is not abstract. Exporters, importers, and SMEs with international exposure stand to benefit materially. Corridors such as UK India remittances are already among the largest globally highlighting the commercial potential of a well-designed GBP stablecoin.

2. Programmability and the AI economy

Stablecoins are not just faster money but they are smarter money. Programmability allows payments to execute automatically when predefined conditions are met. This enables entirely new financial use cases: automated payroll systems, conditional trade finance, smart escrow arrangements, and even instantaneous mortgage settlements.

The implications extend further. As artificial intelligence systems become more autonomous, the need for machine-native payment rails becomes critical. Stablecoins are emerging as the default infrastructure for “agentic commerce” where AI agents transact independently on behalf of users. In this context, stablecoins are not merely instruments, rather foundational infrastructure for the next phase of the digital economy.

3. Tokenisation and capital markets transformation

The tokenisation of real-world assets: government bonds, money market funds, equities, and real estate is gaining institutional traction. Stablecoins play a critical role in this ecosystem as the settlement asset is the ‘cash leg’ of transactions.

This enables atomic settlement, where asset transfer and payment occur simultaneously on the same ledger. The efficiency gains are substantial: reduced counterparty risk, faster settlement cycles, and lower operational costs.

The Bank of England and FCA’s exploration of stablecoins within the Digital Securities Sandbox reflects recognition of this potential. The opportunity is clear but capturing it requires regulatory clarity and strategic intent.

The risks: real, but not insurmountable. The expansion of stablecoins brings legitimate concerns, such as financial stability and run risk, disintermediation of banks, financial crime, and consumer protection. Ignoring these risks would be as misguided as overstating them.

However, the overarching conclusion of the committee is measured: these risks are not fundamentally new. They are variations of risks already present in financial markets. With appropriate regulation, they are manageable.

The UK’s position

The UK finds itself at a critical juncture. Other jurisdictions have moved ahead decisively. The European Union’s MiCA framework is already operational, providing legal certainty across member states. The US has established a federal regime through recent legislation, triggering a wave of institutional stablecoin initiatives. In contrast, the UK’s full regulatory framework is not expected to be operational until late 2027. While consultations are ongoing, delays risk creating a vacuum one that will be filled by dollar-denominated stablecoins. Regulatory clarity is not a technical detail, it is a competitive advantage. Where rules are clear, innovation follows.

Despite delays, the UK’s proposed framework contains several strong foundations. The requirement for 1:1 asset backing is critical. It ensures that stablecoins function as reliable payment instruments rather than speculative constructs. The use of statutory trusts to ring-fence backing assets enhances consumer protection and confidence, particularly in insolvency scenarios. Perhaps most notably, the proposed central bank liquidity backstop for systemic stablecoins represents an innovative approach to managing run risk. It signals a willingness to integrate stablecoins into the broader financial system rather than treating them as external threats.

However, several aspects of the proposed framework risk undermining the very market it seeks to enable.

The uncertainty problem

Beyond specific provisions, a broader issue persists: uncertainty. Key elements of the regime such as the transition from non-systemic to systemic status, criteria for designation, and the interaction with payments regulation remain unclear. This lack of clarity creates planning challenges and may discourage scaling. Firms cannot invest confidently in a system whose future requirements are undefined. Providing transparent thresholds, clear transition pathways, and coherent regulatory coordination must be a priority.

The sovereignty question

Perhaps the most underappreciated dimension of the stablecoin debate is monetary sovereignty. If dollar-denominated stablecoins become the dominant medium for digital transactions even within the UK the role of sterling could erode over time. This has implications not only for financial markets but for the effectiveness of monetary policy. A robust GBP stablecoin ecosystem is therefore not just an economic opportunity it is a strategic necessity. It ensures that the UK retains influence over its monetary infrastructure in a digital age.

From hesitation to leadership

Stablecoins are not a passing trend. They are a structural evolution in how money operates. The UK has the ingredients to lead: deep capital markets, strong regulatory institutions, and global financial influence. What is required now is decisiveness. Regulation must be clear, proportionate, and forward-looking. It must enable innovation while safeguarding stability. Most importantly, it must arrive in time to matter. The risk is not that stablecoins fail. The risk is that they succeed elsewhere on terms set by others. The opportunity remains open. But it will not remain open indefinitely. The waiting game must end.

India’s learning curve

For India, one takeaway is fairly straightforward: waiting too long has its own risks. The cautious stance of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been important for stability, but the lack of a clear framework means innovation is steadily moving elsewhere, largely into dollar-backed stablecoins. The lesson from the UK is not to blindly follow global models, but to move with intent. India needs to spell out where stablecoins fit, especially alongside the CBDC. Just as important is giving the market a clear timeline; without that, serious players won’t commit. India already has strong digital infrastructure like UPI, and if stablecoins are layered thoughtfully on top, especially for cross-border flows, there is a real opportunity to shape regional markets. But if policy continues to lag, India risks ending up on the sidelines, adapting to rules set by others rather than shaping them.

Access report here .

This article has been contributed by Sumit Gupta, Co Founder at CoinDCX.

Name: Sharjil Shaikh

Contact details - sharjil.shaikh@coindcx.com

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Disclaimer: Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. The above content is non-editorial, and TIL hereby disclaims any and all warranties, expressed or implied, relating to the same. TIL does not guarantee, vouch for or necessarily endorse any of the above content, nor is it responsible for them in any manner whatsoever. The article does not constitute investment advice. Please take all steps necessary to ascertain that any information and content provided is correct, updated and verified.

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