Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Sport
Louise Taylor

The road to the 2026 World Cup: who has qualified and who is at risk

(clockwise from top left) Bolivia's  Miguel Terceros, Norway's Erling Haaland, New Zealands Chris Wood, Egypt's Mohamed Salah, Saudi Arabia coach Hervé Renard, Jamaica coach Steve McClaren.
Clockwise from top left: Bolivia's Miguel Terceros, Norway's Erling Haaland, New Zealand’s Chris Wood, Egypt's Mohamed Salah, Saudi Arabia coach Hervé Renard, Jamaica coach Steve McClaren. Composite: Getty; Shutterstock; Alamy

Forty-eight teams will participate in next summer’s World Cup, with the hosts, Canada, Mexico and the United States, granted automatic entry. A further 43 places are determined by qualifying competitions from the six confederations and the remaining two will be decided at March’s six-team intercontinental playoffs in Monterrey and Guadalajara. After this month’s internationals, 18 countries have places booked. The draw is due to take place on 5 December at Washington’s Kennedy Center.

Africa

The winners of the nine qualifying groups gain automatic entry and the four best runners-up will compete in November’s pan-African playoffs for one place in the intercontinental playoffs

Playoffs are something Morocco, semi-finalists at Qatar 2022, and Tunisia, who have not conceded a goal in eight qualifiers, do not need to worry about having already qualified. Egypt top their group, but must wait at least another month to confirm a berth after being held 0-0 by Burkina Faso in Ouagadougou. If Pharaohs fans were disappointed by Mohamed Salah’s subdued performance, Manchester City supporters will be alarmed by the knee injury that forced off his fellow forward Omar Marmoush after nine minutes.

Cape Verde are one win from qualifying for their first World Cup after beating Cameroon 1-0 in Praia in Group D and Senegal came from 2-0 down against DR Congo to prevail 3-2 and leapfrog their hosts to move top of Group B. A thrilling match in Kinshasa featured goals from the Newcastle’s Yoane Wissa and the Bayern Munich loanee Nicolas Jackson.

The prospect of Nigeria missing out is growing after they drew 1-1 away to a South Africa side on course to top their group. It remains to be seen what punishment, if any, Fifa will impose on South Africa for fielding Teboho Mokoena – who should have been suspended – when they beat Lesotho in March. With two October qualifiers to come, Ivory Coast, Algeria and Ghana look well placed for direct qualification.

See the full standings here.

Co-hosts: Canada, Mexico, United States

Africa: Morocco, Tunisia

Asia: Australia, Iran, Japan, Jordan, South Korea, Uzbekistan

Oceania: New Zealand

South America: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay

Asia

Eight countries qualify directly from assorted Asian mini-leagues and the confederation will send one team to the intercontinental playoffs after a playoff of its own in November.

Japan, Iran, South Korea and Australia have qualified together with Jordan and Uzbekistan, both of whom will make inaugural appearances in the World Cup finals. That leaves the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Iraq, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Indonesia contesting the two remaining direct slots – via two three-team groups – as a continental qualifying process that began in 2023 reaches its final two rounds.

Could Saudi Arabia, the 2034 World Cup hosts and shock group-stage conquerors of Argentina at Qatar 2022, miss out on a place? A team back under the management of Hervé Renard after his defection to coach France’s women host Indonesia and Iraq in Jeddah in October.

See the full standings here.

Europe

The only confederation not to be represented in the intercontinental playoffs involves 12 groups with the winners proceeding straight to the World Cup. The four remaining places are secured via a playoff system featuring group runners-up and Nations League group winners.

Nothing is decided but while the horizon looks extremely rosy for Thomas Tuchel’s England other sides are starting to sweat a little, including Italy, Germany and, particularly, Sweden.

Sweden supporters have reason to wonder whether Alexander Isak’s one-man strike at Newcastle as he forced his deadline-day move to Liverpool may cost them dear. With the national coach, Jon Dahl Tomasson, judging Isak some way off match fitness his star striker sat out last Friday’s 2-2 draw against Slovenia in Ljubljana before his late introduction from the bench failed to prevent a 2-0 defeat in Kosovo. Third-placed Sweden are five points adrift of the group leaders, Switzerland. They have four games to turn things round.

In contrast, Erling Haaland limbered up for Sunday’s Manchester derby in style, scoring five goals as Norway beat Moldova 11-1 in Oslo. Norway have a 100% record after five qualifiers and, six points clear of second-placed Italy, appear en route to a first appearance in a World Cup finals since 1998.

Germany are third in their group after last week’s 2-0 defeat in Slovakia that left their head coach, Julian Nagelsmann, questioning his team’s mentality. They responded with a 3-1 win against second-placed Northern Ireland, but look far from convincing.

Scotland’s and Wales’ World Cup ambitions remain alive in two tight groups but the Republic of Ireland’s hopes were severely dented by a 2-1 defeat in Armenia.

Slovakia, Switzerland, Norway and England are joined as group leaders by Denmark, France, Spain, Portugal, the Netherlands, Bosnia and Herzegovia, North Macedonia and Croatia.

See the full standings here.

North America, Central America and the Caribbean

Steve McClaren could be heading to the World Cup with Jamaica. The former England manager’s latest team are, along with Suriname and Honduras, well placed to progress. Three automatic slots are up for grabs – for the winners of the three four-team groups in this final round of qualifying. The two best runners-up go into the intercontinental playoffs.

See the full standings here.

Oceania

The only confederation to be done and dusted. The solitary automatic place has been secured by New Zealand, leaving New Caledonia, a French overseas territory not recognised by Fifa until 2004, to enter March’s intercontinental playoffs. New Zealand are managed by the Northampton-born Darren Bazeley who, before emigrating to the country, played as a right-back for Watford, Wolves, Walsall and England Under-21s.

See the full standings here.

South America

Argentina (the World Cup holders), Ecuador, Colombia, Uruguay, Brazil and Paraguay have qualified. Bolivia secured the confederation’s intercontinental playoff place with a surprise 1-0 win over Brazil in La Paz on Tuesday.

Brazil, five times World Cup winners, finished fifth, their lowest qualifying position. Carlo Ancelotti was unimpressed with Bolivia’s gamesmanship, particularly the ballboys’ habit of throwing balls on to the pitch to interrupt Brazil attacks. After a home win secured by Miguel Terceros’s penalty, Samir Xaud, the Brazil football federation president, said: “We played against the referees, the police and the ballboys. We came to play soccer, but it was a complete anti-game.”

South American qualifying began in 2023 and featured 10 teams in one large group playing each other home and away, with the top six reaching the World Cup and seventh sufficient to make the playoffs.

See the full standings here.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.