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Liverpool Echo
Liverpool Echo
Sport
Connor Dunn

The points total Everton may need to secure Champions League qualification

Everton have serious designs on finishing in the top four this season and that prospect could still become a reality, despite the defeat to Chelsea on Monday night.

The Blues sit in sixth place in the Premier League table, just four points behind Chelsea in fourth and with a game in hand, while Leicester in third are seven points ahead having also played a game more.

A Champions League spot can still be the target for Carlo Ancelotti's men and with 11 games to go, destiny is almost in the hands of those at Goodison Park in what is set to be a very exciting end to the season.

"Our target is to be in Europe," the manager said after the game at Stamford Bridge. "If we are to be in the top four, it will be fantastic."

West Ham, on 48 points and in fifth position, have 11 games remaining as do Tottenham in seventh having amassed 45 points.

Aston Villa, who have achieved 40 points so far this season and sit ninth, have 12 games to go while Manchester United, Leicester, Chelsea and Liverpool, in second, third, fourth and eighth position respectively, have 10 matches to go and sit on 54, 53, 50 and 43 points.

It is likely Everton will be locked in an intense battle from now until the end of the season with most of those teams for a European Cup place, with Manchester City in first a further 11 points clear of the chasing pack, 19 clear of the Blues having played a game more.

But how many points do Everton realistically now need if they are to finish in fourth this season? With football an ever-changing beast, we have looked at the last decade when considering how many points are usually needed to secure a spot in the top four.

The points total needed to secure Champions League football

Last season, Manchester United in third and Chelsea in fourth both achieved 66 points. In 2018/19 Chelsea finished on 72 points in third and Tottenham accrued 71 points in fourth.

It took 77 points for Spurs to finish third in 2017/18 and 75 for Liverpool to take the final place. In 2016/17, Man City achieved 78 points to secure third while Liverpool managed to gain 76 points for fourth.

In the previous term, Man City won 66 points and finished fourth while Tottenham managed to get 70 in third. In 2014/15, Arsenal finished third with 75 points and Manchester United came fourth with 70. Back in 2013/14, Chelsea won 82 points to get third while Arsenal needed 79 for fourth. It was 75 points for Chelsea in third during the 2012/13 season and 73 for Arsenal in fourth.

Tottenham accrued 69 points for fourth in the campaign before that, with Arsenal in third having amassed 70 points. And finally, in 2010/11 Arsenal achieved 68 points for fourth while Man City came in third with 71 - the same amount as Chelsea in second that season.

On average, then, to achieve third place in the Premier League over the last decade teams have needed to accrue just over 73 points. To obtain fourth place , over the last 10 years sides have needed an average of just over 71 points .

Now, Everton sit on 46 points this season with 11 games to go - meaning they'd need to win nine games between now and the end of the season to get an average third place finish throughout the last decade.

To reach the benchmark average for fourth, this term the Blues would need to win eight of their remaining 11 games while drawing one of the others.

It's a big ask, of course, but certainly nowhere near impossible and below you can see how the run-in for Ancelotti's men compares to everyone else.

Remaining fixtures for Everton

Everton v Burnley

Everton v Crystal Palace

Brighton v Everton

Everton v Tottenham

Arsenal v Everton

Everton v Aston Villa

West Ham v Everton

Everton v Sheffield United

Everton v Wolves

Man City v Everton

(Aston Villa v Everton TBC)

Remaining fixtures for Chelsea

Leeds v Chelsea

Chelsea v Sheffield United

Chelsea v West Brom

Crystal Palace v Chelsea

Chelsea v Brighton

West Ham v Chelsea

Chelsea v Fulham

Man City v Chelsea

Chelsea v Arsenal

Chelsea v Leicester

Aston Villa v Chelsea

Remaining fixtures for West Ham

Manchester United v West Ham

West Ham v Arsenal

Wolves v West Ham

West Ham v Leicester

Newcastle v West Ham

West Ham v Chelsea

Burnley v West Ham

West Ham v Everton

Brighton v West Ham

West Brom v West Ham

West Ham v Southampton

Remaining fixtures for Tottenham

Arsenal v Tottenham

Aston Villa v Tottenham

Newcastle v Tottenham

Tottenham v Manchester United

Everton v Tottenham

Tottenham v Sheffield United

Leeds v Tottenham

Tottenham v Wolves

Tottenham v Aston Villa

Leicester v Tottenham

Remaining fixtures for Liverpool

Wolves v Liverpool

Arsenal v Liverpool

Liverpool v Aston Villa

Leeds v Liverpool

Liverpool v Newcastle

Manchester United v Liverpool

Liverpool v Southampton

West Brom v Liverpool

Burnley v Liverpool

Liverpool v Crystal Palace

Remaining fixtures for Aston Villa

Newcastle v Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Tottenham

Aston Villa v Fulham

Liverpool v Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Man City

Aston Villa v West Brom

Everton v Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Manchester United

Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Tottenham v Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Chelsea

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