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Joe Mewis

The key factors that will set the tone for Leeds United's promotion sprint to the finish

The return of the Championship is just over a week away.

When Leeds United take to the empty Cardiff City Stadium on Sunday June 21, it will have been 106 days since the the final whistle blew on their 2-0 win over Huddersfield Town at Elland Road.

The enforced layoff has meant clubs have had to address issues they have never previously considered and the season will start with a host of intangibles that makes the Championship even harder to predict than ever.

For Marcelo Bielsa's men the equation is simple though. If they ensure that their seven-point lead over the chasing pack outside of the automatic promotion places does not get eaten away, they will be playing Premier League football next season.

Hitting the ground running will put them in an even better position for what will be a hectic last few games, so here are a few of the factors that could have a big say in how Leeds' restart goes...

Mentality

The debate over whether it is better to sit at the top of the pile or be chasing the leaders is one that rears its head every Championship season, but never has a club sat at the top of the table for the whole of March, April, May and half of June with no games to play.

That leaves the door open for doubts to creep in, the scars of how last season ended all still too raw for Leeds and their fanbase. Will the layoff also have taken the wind out of Leeds' sails, given their five-match winning streak that went on before the break?

Complacency is another threat. Whereas Liverpool have been able to enter the break with a 25-point buffer to second place in the Premier League, Leeds cannot restart thinking that they merely need to turn up and promotion will be theres.

Thankfully, all of the noises coming out of the club have been positive when it comes to the mental side of things.

Marcelo Bielsa during the Championship match between Birmingham City and Leeds United at St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium on December 29, 2019 (Mick Walker - CameraSport via Getty Images)

From the top down the message has been that Leeds want to finish the season on the pitch, despite the option of curtailment and certain promotion being put on the table by the EFL.

Every player that we have spoken to during the lockdown has insisted that their focus is unwavering, with the party line being that the late-season falter has brought them together closer and made them even more determined to get over the line this time around.

Patrick Bamford was the latest player to speak out on this, talking to BBC Radio 5 Live on Friday.

"We know what the Championship's like," said the Whites' striker.

"We're quietly confident that we have the ability to do it, and we've learned from our mistakes, but we've still got to prove it.

"To get a real go at the Premier League, this is a brilliant chance, so we're not letting anything get in the way of our focus."

Injuries and illness

Marcelo Bielsa has taken charge of Leeds 91 times and not once has he had a fully fit squad to chose from.

This poor injury luck will continue upon the restart, with Jean-Kevin Augustin's setback earlier this week the latest injury Bielsa has to deal with. Whether or not we see the Frenchman again in a Leeds shirt depends just how bad the problem is, but his chances of replacing Patrick Bamford in the starting line-up from the get-go were slim-to-none. Opportunity may therefore knock for Tyler Roberts should an alternative to Bamford be needed.

On the plus side, the break has meant Kalvin Phillips has been able to recover from the knock he suffered in March, but the club will know that the condensed schedule must be balanced against Bielsa's training demands in order to avoid the upturn in injuries that the Bundesliga has seen.

We know that Bielsa does not like to run with a big squad, so any injuries would be keenly felt. In Rob Price, Leeds have one of the more respected medical chiefs in the division, and he was central in the club's efficient preparations for the lockdown before the league was suspended.

When it comes to the matter of positive Covid-19 tests, Leeds' policy remains not to comment but the small number of positives tests from the five rounds of Championship testing so far has been encouraging. To date, no outbreaks at any clubs have been significant, which indicates that isolating players or staff is working.

The fixture list

One of the reasons why a fast start is so important for Leeds is how the first ten days of fixtures pan out.

Leeds' tricky trip to Cardiff is followed by a huge clash against Fulham, before Luton visiting Elland Road brings about a trio of easier looking fixtures.

If Leeds can claim seven points from their first three matches, they could really turn the screw on the chasing pack, given some of the other early fixtures.

Fulham and Brentford will be the very first match back next Saturday, meaning the Cottagers could barely have a tougher return to action.

West Bromwich Albion restart with a local derby against Birmingham City before facing Brentford, in another six-pointer between two top four sides before the start of July.

The side that gets out of the traps the quickest will give themselves a huge advantage in this sprint to the line.

Empty grounds

This is another area where the impact is up for debate.

Anyone who has been at Elland Road for a big game in recent months will know just how electric the atmosphere will be and it is clear that this current Leeds United side can feed off this positive energy. That, plus the hostility that the Whites faithful can often show to the opposition would clearly indicate that Leeds will be at a disadvantage in an empty Elland Road.

An alternative view is presented by former Cardiff City and Leeds striker Nathan Blake, who believes that the styles of play will have the ultimate say on the behind-closed-doors debate.

"I fear sides who play patient, possession football, who ping that ball around, will be the ones to benefit most from behind-closed-doors games. Teams who play proper football, you might say," he told WalesOnline.

Patrick Bamford also falls on this side of the fence, as he told the BBC that Bielsa's preparation means the squad's focus is so absolute means playing in an empty stadium will not damage their promotion charge.

"The way we train and the way that our manager's got us geared towards, is - 'if you don't train like you play, then you're not going to play anyway'," Bamford continued.

"So every training session for us is literally scrutinised by him, and if you're not on it for even a minute during the drill, then he lets you know about it.

"As a team, we're used to playing under the pressure in training, never mind in a game."

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