The exact chances of Cardiff City getting relegated…

The exact chances of Cardiff City getting relegated compared to Reading, Rotherham United, Huddersfield Town and QPR

In a fortnight's time, the 2022/23 Championship campaign will be over.

Cardiff City fans will head into the summer in the knowledge that their club have either secured Championship status, or, disaster has struck, and they are preparing for a life in the third tier again for the first time in 20 years.

The Bluebirds have just three games remaining this season, but, in essence, the two games in four days this week loom large.

Cardiff face a mammoth 180 minutes of football against two direct relegation rivals. Firstly, they take on Rotherham United on Thursday in what is likely to be a charged atmosphere following the fallout from the abandoned game last month.

Then, the return of Neil Warnock on Sunday will see Huddersfield Town come to Cardiff City Stadium in the hope of turning over the Bluebirds to strengthen their own position at the bottom of the table.

This is just about the biggest two-match stretch Cardiff have had to face in some time. Not only would a positive result bolster their own spot at the bottom of the table, but it would take points away from direct rivals. Negative results, of course, would have the adverse, detrimental effect.

With Burnley a bit of a lottery at the moment - having taken their foot off the gas since their promotion to the Premier League was confirmed - it's anyone's guess how that final game of the season at Turf Moor will go for City. But few fans would want to go there in hope of winning to avoid relegation, that's for sure.

Things are delicately poised at present. Cardiff, Rotherham and Huddersfield still have three games remaining, while the clubs in the bottom three, Reading, Blackpool and Wigan Athletic, only have two left. So, too, do QPR in 18th place.

Data experts FiveThirtyEight have drilled down into the numbers and have offered up the percentage chances of where Cardiff will finish in the table come the final whistle on May 8.

They state there is a four percent chance Cardiff will finish 22nd - in the drop zone - a 17 percent chance of them narrowly avoiding the drop in 21st place, a 19 percent chance of them finishing in 20th, a 25 percent chance of them finishing in 19th, while there is a 34 percent chance of them improving as far up the table as 18th.

So, compared to their rivals, this is the exact chance each endangered club is facing with regards to relegation to League One.