There are quite a few interesting races scattered around the programme on Wednesday, including the Listed Rothesay Stakes for fillies and mares up at Ayr, but the seven-furlong handicap at Yarmouth could offer the best bet of the day as Realize (4.30) attempts to record his first win on turf since July 2013.
Realize has made a name for himself as an all-weather performer, and managed to finish sixth of 12 runners in the All-Weather Sprint Championship on Finals day at Lingfield last month. He is undoubtedly better on artificial surfaces than he is on turf, but his handicap mark reflects that – 102 versus 81 – and this afternoon’s race is his first for Dave Simcock after he was sold for 26,000gns earlier this month.
That sale followed a solid third place over course and distance in a better race than today’s, and in addition to dropping down a grade from Class 3 to 4, Realize has also been dropped 1lb in the ratings. That should make him very competitive at this level, and at around 3-1, he is very fairly priced.
King Oswald (4.00) also has plenty going for him at the prices on the same card. His third place at Haydock last time out looks like solid form, as the time was unusually strong for the grade and Cosmic Ray, who finished fourth, is a winner since. A couple of those that finished further back have also shown better form since, and King Oswald is an decent bet at around 11-2 to frank the form again.
Maleficent Queen took the first running of the Rothesay Stakes 12 months ago and returns for another crack at the same race today, but there was nothing of the quality of Nezwaah (5.20) in the field last time and Roger Varian’s filly will be very hard to beat.
Inexes (4.20) is a fair price at around 7-1 on the same card judged on his form with Nicholas T, the favourite, at Doncaster last month, while at Kempton this evening, Wadigor (7.40) should pick up where he left off last year in the most interesting race on the card. Dubai’s Secret (8.10) is over-priced at 12-1 in Kempton’s one-mile handicap, as he looked as though he needed the outing on his first start since being gelded at Ripon last month. His form at both Newbury and Newmarket last season gives him a big chance today if he is somewhere close to his best.
Wednesday’s tips
Ayr 2.20 Noble Manners 2.50 Duncan Of Scotland 3.20 Secret City 3.50 Straightothepoint 4.20 Inexes 4.50 Restive 5.20 Nezwaah 5.55 Stoneboat Bill
Kempton Park 6.10 Transmitting 6.40 Margherita 7.10 Di Fede 7.40 Wadigor 8.10 Dubai’s Secret (nb) 8.40 Broughtons Fancy 9.10 Arctic Angel
Yarmouth 2.00 Cartographer 2.30 Tyrsal 3.00 Graceful Lady 3.30 In Ken’s Memory 4.00 King Oswald 4.30 Realize (nap) 5.00 Swilly Sunset
Lingfield Park 2.10 Cross Step 2.40 Brooke’s Point 3.10 Rosa Damascena 3.40 Kerrymerry 4.10 Taajub 4.40 Regarde Moi 5.10 Fleeting Glimpse
Southwell 5.50 Yes Daddy 6.20 Minella Tweet 6.50 Follow The Bear 7.20 Lerichi Belle 7.50 Lovely Touch 8.20 Lilly’s Legend 8.50 Hello Bertie