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Sadik Hossain

‘TACO Trump’ theory emerges as Putin banks on the president chickening out while Ukraine remains out of reach

Recent drone attacks by Ukraine on Russian strategic bombers have highlighted the ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with President Donald Trump’s response drawing attention to his complex relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Despite mounting challenges, including stalled frontlines, economic pressures, and potential new sanctions, Putin remains steadfast in his ambition to conquer Ukraine.

According to Politico, Former U.S. officials and analysts suggest that, rather than trying to convince Putin to abandon his goals regarding Ukraine, the focus should be on making Ukraine impossible for him to capture. This approach requires a combination of military aid, sanctions, and sustained diplomatic pressure.

Russia specialists note that Putin is likely aware of the concept of “TACO Trump” (Trump Always Chickens Out), which has gained traction in various sectors, including Wall Street. This perception suggests that while Trump might initially take a hard stance, he typically backs down, potentially giving Moscow room to maneuver.

New sanctions bill could test U.S.-Russia relations

A new sanctions bill supported by the majority of U.S. senators proposes severe measures against Russia, including 500 percent tariffs on countries continuing to purchase Russian energy exports. The bill’s implementation could significantly impact Russia’s economy, though concerns exist about its effects on global trade relations.

Trump’s approach to Putin has been marked by inconsistency. While the White House maintains that Trump “has always been tough on Putin,” his actions and statements often suggest otherwise. His campaign promises to end the war within 24 hours, and recent social media interactions with Putin have raised questions about his understanding of the Russian leader’s determination.

The Russian economy has adapted to wartime conditions, lasting longer than many Western analysts predicted. Even if U.S. sanctions were lifted, experts suggest American businesses would be hesitant to re-enter the Russian market due to various risks, including potential future sanctions.

Former U.S. intelligence official Andrea Kendall-Taylor emphasizes the importance of sustained pressure through various means, including Ukraine’s military achievements. The strategy requires patience and consistent application of multiple tactics to demonstrate to Putin that conquering Ukraine is beyond his reach, regardless of his unwavering belief in Russia’s claim to the territory.

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