
Amid mounting speculation, Donald Trump has made what he described as one of "the most important" decisions of his presidency - a replacement for retiring Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy.
The president had said with any of his final four options “you can't go wrong”, and on Monday evening he announced he had opted for the federal appeals judge Brett Kavanaugh.
Mr Kavanaugh's selection was a reward for evangelical Christians and other religious conservatives who have supported his presidency, and creates a significant conservative majority on the panel of the highest court in the land. Here's how it happened.
Live Updates
Having had two chances at nominating judges in less than two years, Mr Trump is in a unique position to shape the ideological leanings of the court for decades.
From gay rights:
When the announcement is made later tonight, the campaign will kick off. It will feature cable and digital advertising - offering biographical information - in states including Alabama, Indiana, North Dakota and West Virginia.
The group started advertising after Justice Anthony Kennedy announced his retirement. The new advert brings their total investment to $2.4 million. They will also launch a website with information on the nominee
Mr Hawley began running the ad Monday, the same day President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his pick to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy. The nomination is subject to Senate confirmation.
The Supreme Court vacancy is expected to energise Republican voters across the nation in this fall's midterm elections. The 38-year-old Mr Hawley, Missouri's attorney general, has a special connection to the court: He clerked for Chief Justice John Roberts.
The advert says: "The eyes of the nation are on Missouri. We decide which values control the Senate, and the Supreme Court."
“They're good judges,” Mr Blunt said on NBC's “Meet the Press.” He added: “I think they'd be fine justices of the Supreme Court. I do think the president has to think about who is the easiest to get confirmed here. And I expect we will do that on sort of a normal timetable, a couple of months.”
Outside adviser Leonard Leo, currently on leave from the Federalist Society, said on ABC's “This Week” that this kind of jockeying is standard, noting that “every potential nominee before announcement gets concerns expressed about them by people who might ultimately support them.”
President Donald Trump's selection will set up a confirmation showdown in the Senate, where his fellow Republicans hold a slim 51-49 majority, though with ailing Senator John McCain at home in Arizona as he faces cancer treatment they currently can muster only 50 votes. Without Republican defections, however, Senate rules leave Democrats with scant options to block confirmation of Mr Trump's nominee.
Mr Casey says the list of judges Trump has used to find a Supreme Court nominee is the “fruit of a corrupt process straight from the DC swamp.” He cites involvement of the conservative Heritage Foundation think tank in drafting the list.
Bob Salera, a campaign spokesman for Senate Republicans, said Casey has “given up any pretense of being a moderate voice” by opposing Mr Trump's nominee sight unseen.
Casey says he is “pro-life,” but regularly sides with supporters of abortion rights in Senate votes.
Mr Casey has called the Heritage Foundation far-right before, the think tank itself deny those claims.
Known as 'Sherpas' - a reference to the guides that take climbers up Mount Everest - they liaise with the White House and keep an eye out for any roadblocks to the nomination.
Mr Kyl, a former member of Republican leadership, served on the Senate Judiciary Committee before retiring from the Senate in January 2013. He works for Washington-based lobbying firm Covington & Burling.
FINDING THE VOTES
Republicans may have a narrower margin for error than they did when the Senate confirmed Trump's first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, by a vote of 54-45 in April 2017.
Democratic Senator Doug Jones of Alabama has replaced Republican Sen. Luther Strange, cutting the GOP's Senate majority to 51-49. Meanwhile, Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona is battling brain cancer and has not been back to the Capitol since December.
That increases the focus on two Republicans — Senators Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. Both support a woman's right to have an abortion and will be looking for assurances that the nominee would not overturn the Roe v Wade decision establishing abortion rights. Mr Trump pledged in 2016 that he would be “putting pro-life justices on the court.”
On the Democratic side, the focus will be on Senators Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota, Joe Donnelly of Indiana and Joe Manchin of West Virginia. All three voted to confirm Mr Gorsuch and are up for re-election in states that Mr Trump won handily. Whatever they decide will upset a large group of voters in their home states.
If Ms Collins and Ms Murkowski vote “no” and Democrats all vote “no,” the nomination would be blocked. If Mr McCain were to miss the vote, only one GOP defection would be needed to block the nomination if all Democrats were opposed.
OLD WOUNDS
Democrats are still stinging from Republicans refusing to even grant a hearing to President Barack Obama's choice to serve on the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland.
They are calling on Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, to wait until after the November election to schedule a hearing and vote. Mr McConnell has rejected that possibility, saying the decision to not fill the vacancy under Mr Obama was prefaced on it being a presidential election year.
Democrats say Mr McConnell is being hypocritical in moving forward with the nomination. While that argument won't sway Republicans, their strategy could stiffen Democratic resolve to oppose the nominee. Liberal advocacy groups are challenging Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, to keep the Democrats united.
Mr Kennedy said he was bracing for a tough confirmation battle as Democrats focus the nominee's views of the Supreme Court's Roe v. Wade ruling legalising abortion.
"I suspect this is going to be a rough, tough, down in the dirt, ear-pulling, nose-biting fight," Mr Kennedy said.
With little warning, the Republican administration announced it is freezing payments under an "Obamacare" program that protects insurers with sicker patients from financial losses. If the decision is made permanent, it would lead to higher premiums.
Mr Schumer says the administration's action highlights the stakes for senators.
He said: "Because President Trump has said repeatedly that he would nominate judges to overturn the ACA, the Supreme Court vacancy is only further putting health care front and center, raising the stakes for maintaining these vital health care protections."
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Leading Democrats, including frequent Trump target Elizabeth Warren, have called on the American people to help them fight any nomination. There are some strong words in the Twitter video below.
Mr Trump said earlier on Monday, before announcing his move: “I'm very close to making a final decision. And I believe this person will do a great job,” Mr Trump said. Asked by reporters how many people were being considered, the president said: “Let's say it's the four people ... they're excellent, every one.”
While Trump did not name the four, top contenders were considered to be Mr Kavanaugh himself, Raymond Kethledge, Amy Coney Barrett and Thomas Hardiman. The White House has been preparing information materials on all four, who were part of a longer list of 25 names vetted by conservative groups.
Mr Trump tweeted later on Sunday that he was looking forward to the announcement and said an “exceptional person will be chosen!” He is hoping to replicate his successful announcement of Justice Neil Gorsuch last year.
The president has spent the days leading up to the decision mulling the pros and cons of the various options with aides and allies. He expressed renewed interest in Mr Hardiman — the runner-up when Mr Trump nominated Justice Gorsuch, but his thinking is said to remain fluid.
Mr Hardiman has a personal connection to the president, having served with Mr Trump's sister on the 3rd US Circuit Court of Appeals in Philadelphia. He also has a compelling personal story: He went to the University of Notre Dame as the first person in his family to go to college. He financed his law degree at the Georgetown University Law Center by driving a taxi.
Associated Press contributed to this report

